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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday, May 4th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Blue Jays vs. Red Sox
The Blue Jays take on the Red Sox on Thursday, May 4th 2023 at Fenway Park, Boston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays (18-13) vs. Boston Red Sox (18-14)
- Date: Thursday, May 4th 2023
- Time: 6:10 ET
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Blue Jays vs. Red Sox
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Toronto Blue Jays - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 18-13, the Toronto Blue Jays will host Toronto, currently ranked 3rd in the AL East. Toronto will be looking to move their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 9-10 away from home.
Toronto's record against the runline stands at 15-16, even though they have been favored in 22 of their 31 games. The team has an over/under record of 13-16, with an average betting line of 9.
Kevin Gausman gets the starting nod for Toronto, looking to improve his overall record of 2-2. Runs have been hard to come by against Kevin Gausman, as he has an ERA of just 2.33. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .224 against him. Opposing hitters have gone deep four times against Kevin Gausman, who has a WOBA allowed of .267. Gausman's WHIP of 1.01 comes along with a total of six walks allowed.
Toronto enters play averaging 4.7 runs per game, placing them 11th in the MLB. Heading into play, the Blue Jays are the 11th-ranked unit in team batting average. Combined, the team is batting .254. Overall, the team has hit 35 home runs, placing them 13th. Throughout the season, Toronto's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 10th best OBP of .330.
Boston Red Sox - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Boston Red Sox enter play ranked 4th in the AL East with an overall record of 18-14. In their 19 games at Fenway Park, the Red Sox have a strong record of 12-7.
With an above .500 record against the runline, Boston has been favored 14 times in 32 games played so far. The team's over/under record comes in at 22-10 with an average betting line of 9.
Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox with a below .500 record at 0-1. Against the Blue Jays, Brayan Bello is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 6.57. In today's game, he will look to do a better job limiting base runners, as his batting average allowed sits at .375. Brayan Bello has given up three home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .407. With a total of five walks, Bello has a WHIP of 1.86.
Offensively, Boston has had no problem putting up runs, as their scoring average of 5.8 runs per game, ranks 3rd in the MLB. Heading into play, the Red Sox are the 3rd-ranked unit in team batting average. Combined, the team is batting .270. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above average rate, with 44 home runs (5th). Boston's strong OBP of .342 is 3rd best in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Blue Jays vs. Red Sox
Heading into today's matchup between Toronto and Boston, the Blue Jays are the betting favorite at -162 on the moneyline. Toronto's implied win probability sits at 61.83%. The MLB preditive model shows Toronto having a strong performance at the plate and has identified the best bet to take Toronto on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Blue Jays Moneyline
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