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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday, July 4th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Rays
The Phillies take on the Rays on Tuesday, July 4th 2023 at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (44-39) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (57-30)
- Date: Tuesday, July 4th 2023
- Time: 4:10 ET
- Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Rays
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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 44-39, the Philadelphia Phillies travel to take on the Tampa Bay Rays, ranked 3rd in the NL East. Heading into play, the Phillies have won half of their 45 road games, sitting at 22-23.
Philadelphia's record against the runline stands at 35-48, even though they have been favored in 53 of their 83 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 32-44 with an average betting line of 9.
Philadelphia pitcher Aaron Nola gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 7-5. Across 17 appearances, Aaron Nola has a combined ERA of 4.51. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .224 against him. Aaron Nola has given up 17 home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .295. With a total of 29 walks, Nola has a WHIP of 1.12.
On offense, Philadelphia comes into the game averaging 4.5 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. Heading into play, the Phillies are the 5th unit in team batting average, currently hitting .260. Overall, the team has hit 92 home runs, placing them 14th. Philadelphia's strong OBP of .324 is 10th best in the league.
Tampa Bay Rays - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Tampa Bay Rays host the Philadelphia Phillies, they have a record of 57-30, placing them 1st in the AL East. In their 44 games at home, the Rays have a strong record of 34-10.
Tampa Bay currently has an above .500 record against the runline (48-39). So far, they have been favored in 73 of their 87 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 49-34 with an average betting line of 8.
Starting for the Rays will be Zach Eflin, with an overall record of 9-3. So far, Zach Eflin has put together an ERA of 3.29 across his 15 outings. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .225 against him. So far, Eflin has given up 10 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .268. Eflin's WHIP of 1.03 comes along with a total of 15 walks allowed.
Offensively, Tampa Bay has had no problem putting up runs, as their scoring average of 5.6 runs per game, ranks 2nd in the MLB. The Rays are enjoying offensive success as their team batting average ranks 3rd at .264. So far, Tampa Bay's lineup has also been able to hit for power, with a total of 131 home runs, which ranks 2nd. Tampa Bay's offense has done a good job getting on base, ranking 3rd with an OBP of .336.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Rays
Heading into today's matchup between Tampa Bay and Philadelphia, the Rays are the betting favorite at -146 on the moneyline. Tampa Bay's implied win probability sits at 59.35%. Led by a strong offensive performance, the MLB predictive model recommends taking the Rays on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Rays Moneyline -146
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