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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday, July 16th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Padres vs. Phillies
The Padres take on the Phillies on Sunday, July 16th 2023 at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: San Diego Padres (44-49) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (50-42)
- Date: Sunday, July 16th 2023
- Time: 1:35 ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Padres vs. Phillies
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San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The San Diego Padres come into this road contest vs Philadelphia with a below .500 record (44-49). In the NL West standings, the team ranks 4th. San Diego will be looking to move their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 19-26 away from home.
Being the favorite in 70 of their 93 games has not helped San Diego improve their record against the runline, which stands at just 44-49. The team's over/under record comes in at 37-49 with an average betting line of 9.
Seth Lugo gets the start for the Padres with a below .500 record at 3-4. Through 12 outings, Seth Lugo has an ERA sitting at 3.39. To date, he has a batting average allowed of .256. So far, Lugo has given up six home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .295. With a total of 13 walks, Lugo has a WHIP of 1.24.
San Diego's offense comes into this game averaging 4.5 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. So far, the Padres have combined for a team batting average of .235, placing them 17th in the league. So far, the team has put together a strong home-run hitting lineup ranking 8th in home runs, with a total of 115 deep shots. San Diego's overall OBP of .325 is good for 9th in the league.
Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Philadelphia Phillies host the San Diego Padres, they have a record of 50-42, placing them 3rd in the NL East. On the season, the Phillies have an above .500 home record, going 24-17 at Citizens Bank Park.
Philadelphia's record against the runline stands at 40-52, even though they have been favored in 55 of their 92 games. The team has an over/under record of 38-47, with an average betting line of 9.
Taking the mound for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler. Heading into play, he has a mark of 7-4. Across 18 appearances, Zack Wheeler has a combined ERA of 4.05. Currently, opponents have a batting average of .250 against him. So far, Wheeler has given up eight home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .294. Wheeler has a WHIP of 1.19, with 22 walks allowed.
On offense, Philadelphia comes into the game averaging 4.6 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. Through 93 game, the Phillies have a team batting average of .259, ranking 6th. The team's lineup has gone deep at toal of 103 times this season, placing them 15th in the league. To date, Philadelphia has the MLB's 11th best OBP at .322.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Padres vs. Phillies
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and San Diego, the Phillies are the betting favorite at -153 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 60.47%. The MLB preditive model shows Philadelphia having a strong performance at the plate and has identified the best bet to take Philadelphia on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Moneyline -153
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