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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday, July 1st 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Nationals vs. Phillies
The Nationals take on the Phillies on Saturday, July 1st 2023 at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Washington Nationals (33-48) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (43-38)
- Date: Saturday, July 1st 2023
- Time: 4:05 ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Nationals vs. Phillies
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Washington Nationals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Washington Nationals take on the Philadelphia hoping to improve on their record of just 33-48, placing them 5th in the NL East. Heading into play, the Nationals have won half of their 41 road games, sitting at 20-21.
Despite being favored three times in 81 games, Washington has managed to maintain an above .500 record against the runline. The team has an over/under record of 38-41, with an average betting line of 9.
MacKenzie Gore gets the starting nod for Washington, looking to improve his overall record of 4-6. Through 16 appearances, MacKenzie Gore has an ERA of 3.89. The left-hander has a batting average allowed of .254. MacKenzie Gore has given up 13 home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .321. With a total of 36 walks, Gore has a WHIP of 1.41.
Washington's' offense comes into this game averaging just 4.1 runs per game, placing them 24th in the MLB. Although the team has struggled to drive in base runners, the Nationals offense comes into this matchup ranked 5th in the league, at .261. Despite the team's high batting average, they off to a slow start in the power department, ranking 24th in the league, at 65 total home runs. Throughout the season, Washington is ranked 14th in OBP (.318).
Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Philadelphia Phillies host the Washington Nationals, they have a record of 43-38, placing them 3rd in the NL East. In their 36 at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia has put together a record of 21-15.
Philadelphia's record against the runline stands at 34-47, even though they have been favored in 51 of their 81 games. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 31-44.
Philadelphia starter Zack Wheeler takes the mound with an overall record of 6-4. Through 16 appearances, Zack Wheeler has an ERA of 3.86. Currently, opponents are batting just .244 against the right-hander. Opposing hitters have gone deep six times against Zack Wheeler, who has a WOBA allowed of .291. With a total of 22 walks, Wheeler has a WHIP of 1.18.
Philadelphia's offense enters play with the 18th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.4 runs per game. The Phillies' offense comes into this matchup ranked 8th in the league, at .256. So far, the team is the 17th-rated home run hitting team, with a total of 86 long balls. Up to this point, Philadelphia has been getting on base at a rate of .320, placing them 12th in all of baseball.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Nationals vs. Phillies
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and the Nationals, the Phillies are the heavy favorite at -212 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 67.95%. The MLB predictive model gives Philadelphia enough of an edge to bet the Phillies to cover the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies -1.5
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