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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday, May 20th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Cubs vs. Phillies
The Cubs take on the Phillies on Saturday, May 20th 2023 at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Chicago Cubs (20-24) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (20-24)
- Date: Saturday, May 20th 2023
- Time: 4:05 ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Cubs vs. Phillies
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Chicago Cubs - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Chicago Cubs come into this road contest vs Philadelphia with a below .500 record (20-24). In the NL Central standings, the team ranks 3rd. Chicago will be looking to move their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 9-13 away from home.
With an above .500 record against the runline at 24-20, Chicago has been favored in 22 of their 44 games this season. The team's over/under record comes in at 23-20 with an average betting line of 8.
Jameson Taillon gets the starting nod for Chicago, looking to improve his overall record of 0-2. Compared to other starting pitchers, Jameson Taillon has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 6.66. Compared to other pitchers, he has an elevated batting average allowed (.300). Jameson Taillon has given up three home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .363. With a total of seven walks, Taillon has a WHIP of 1.52.
Entering today's action, Chicago features the 10th-ranked scoring unit, averaging 5.0 runs per game. The Cubs have been able to drive in runs at an above average rate as their team batting average of .265 ranks 5th in the league. The team's lineup has gone deep at toal of 55 times this season, placing them 12th in the league. Up to this point, Chicago has been one of the MLB's better teams at getting on base, ranking 2nd at .341.
Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Chicago, the Phillies have a record of just 20-24. This places the team 4th in the NL East. In their 19 at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia has put together a record of 11-8.
Despite being the favorite in 27 of their 44 games, Philadelphia's record against the runline is only 18-26. The team's over/under record comes in at 20-23 with an average betting line of 9.
The Phillies will send Aaron Nola to the mound with an overall record of 3-3. Heading into action, Aaron Nola has an ERA of 4.53. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .240. Opposing hitters have gone deep seven times against Aaron Nola, who has a WOBA allowed of .305. Nola's WHIP of 1.11 comes along with a total of 12 walks allowed.
Offensively, Philadelphia is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.2 runs per game. The Phillies' offense comes into this matchup ranked 8th in the league, at .258. The team's lineup has gone deep at toal of 45 times this season, placing them 20th in the league. To date, Philadelphia has the MLB's 16th-rated OBP, sitting at .319.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Cubs vs. Phillies
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and Chicago, the Phillies are the betting favorite at -174 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 63.5%. The MLB predictive model shows the Phillies pitching to carry the team to a win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an advantage to take Philadelphia on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies -1.5
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