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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Friday, July 7th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Mets vs. Padres
The Mets take on the Padres on Friday, July 7th 2023 at PETCO Park, San Diego. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: New York Mets (41-46) vs. San Diego Padres (41-46)
- Date: Friday, July 7th 2023
- Time: 9:40 ET
- Venue: PETCO Park, San Diego
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Mets vs. Padres
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New York Mets - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The New York Mets take on the San Diego hoping to improve on their record of just 41-46, placing them 4th in the NL East. Heading into play, the Mets have won half of their 48 road games, sitting at 21-27.
New York's record against the runline stands at 35-52, even though they have been favored in 59 of their 87 games. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 37-45.
The Mets will send Justin Verlander to the mound with an overall record of 3-4. Through 11 outings, Justin Verlander has an ERA sitting at 3.66. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .244. Justin Verlander has given up eight home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .301. Verlander's WHIP of 1.19 comes along with a total of 16 walks allowed.
Offensively, New York is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.5 runs per game. So far, the Mets have combined for a team batting average of .242, placing them 15th in the league. In total, the team has hit 112 home runs (9th), making up for their mediocre batting average. Throughout the season, New York is ranked 12th in OBP (.320).
San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against New York, the Padres have a record of just 41-46. This places the team 4th in the NL West. On the season, the Padres have an above .500 home record, going 23-22 at PETCO Park.
San Diego's record vs. the runline is just 41-46 despite being favored 65 times through 87 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 33-48 with an average betting line of 9.
Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres with a below .500 record at 5-6. Yu Darvish will take the mound with an ERA of 4.84. Currently, opponents are batting just .247 against the right-hander. Yu Darvish has given up 10 home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .312. Darvish's WHIP of 1.23 comes along with a total of 25 walks allowed.
San Diego's offense enters play with the 19th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Through 87 games, the Padres have the 18th-ranked batting average at .235. In total, the team has hit 105 home runs (11th), making up for their mediocre batting average. To date, San Diego has the MLB's 8th best OBP at .325.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Mets vs. Padres
Heading into today's matchup between San Diego and New York, the Padres are the betting favorite at -129 on the moneyline. San Diego's implied win probability sits at 56.33%. The MLB predictive model shows the Mets pulling off the upset over San Diego. It is recommended to take New York on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Mets Moneyline +108
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