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Orioles vs. Mets Betting Picks - Today's Free MLB Best Bets, Odds, Predictions (8/4)

Jorge Mateo - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB DFS Betting Picks

Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New York Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Friday, August 4th 2023.

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In addition to all of our other betting content and advice, we have now added daily betting analysis articles and betting recommendations for each MLB game. Every single game on the MLB schedule will have its own betting analysis, betting breakdown and betting picks, every single day! We hope you enjoy, and good luck RotoBallers.

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Today's Betting Overview - Mets vs. Orioles

The Mets take on the Orioles on Friday, August 4th 2023 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.

  • Matchup: New York Mets (50-58) vs. Baltimore Orioles (67-42)
  • Date: Friday, August 4th 2023
  • Time: 7:05 ET
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore

 

Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Mets vs. Orioles

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New York Mets - Today's MLB Betting Analysis

Heading into today's game against Baltimore, the Mets have a record of just 50-58. This places the team 4th in the NL East. The Mets hope to avoid dropping below .500 when playing on the road, as they are currently 24-35.

Despite having the advantage of being favored in 72 of their 108 games, New York's record vs. the runline is just 40-68. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 44-58.

David Peterson gets the starting nod for New York, looking to improve his overall record of 3-7. Against the Orioles, David Peterson is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 5.92. Currently, opponents have a batting average of .292 against him. Opposing hitters have gone deep nine times against David Peterson, who has a WOBA allowed of .356. With a total of 25 walks, Peterson has a WHIP of 1.62.

On offense, New York comes into the game averaging 4.4 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. Through 109 games, the Mets have the 17th-ranked batting average at .238. Currently, New York is one of the best power hitting lineups in the league, at 136 home runs (11th). New York's OBP of .317 places them 13th in the league.

 

Baltimore Orioles - Today's MLB Betting Analysis

As the Baltimore Orioles host the New York Mets, they have a record of 67-42, placing them 1st in the AL East. In their 53 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore has put together a record of 32-21.

Across their 109 games, Baltimore has been favored 48 times, yet their record against the runline is above .500. The team has an over/under record of 55-47, with an average betting line of 9.

Making the start for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, with a record of 10-4. Currently, Dean Kremer has an ERA of 4.66. To date, he has a batting average allowed of .262. Opposing hitters have gone deep 23 times against Dean Kremer, who has a WOBA allowed of .333. Kremer has a WHIP of 1.34, with 35 walks allowed.

Baltimore enters play averaging 4.9 runs per game, placing them 8th in the MLB. As a team, the Orioles are batting a healthy .252, placing them 11th in the league. The team's lineup has gone deep at toal of 126 times this season, placing them 15th in the league. To date, Baltimore has the MLB's 11th best OBP at .320.

 

Today's MLB Betting Pick - Mets vs. Orioles

Heading into today's matchup between Baltimore and New York, the Orioles are the betting favorite at -164 on the moneyline. Baltimore's implied win probability sits at 62.12%. The MLB predictive model shows the Mets pulling off the upset over Baltimore. It is recommended to take New York on the moneyline.

Recommended Betting Pick: Mets Moneyline +136


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