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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Tuesday, May 9th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Suns @ Nuggets
The Suns take on the Nuggets on Tuesday, May 9th at Ball Arena, Denver. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Phoenix Suns (45-37) vs. Denver Nuggets (53-29)
- Date: Tuesday, May 9th
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Suns @ Nuggets
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Suns & Nuggets Key Injuries
Suns
- Chris Paul (Out) Groin
Nuggets
- NONE
Phoenix Suns - NBA Betting Analysis
After taking down the Nuggets by a score of 129-124, the Suns are riding a two-game win streak. Kevin Durant led the way in scoring with 36 points. Not only did Phoenix win the game, but they also covered the spread as 1.0-point favorites.
With the win, the team has moved to 45-37, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 28-13 at home and 17-24 on the road. The Suns have a two-game win streak against the spread and have an overall ATS mark of 47-42.
This season, the Suns' offense has been excellent, ranking 11th in the NBA at 113.6 points per game. Phoenix has averaged 116 points per contest over their last five games. Throughout the season, the Suns have been one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, hitting 37.4% of their looks from deep (11th). Their three-point shooting efficiency has made up for them ranking just 29th in pace at 98.0 possessions per game. So far, their overall field goal percentage is 1st at 46.7%.
This season, the Phoenix defense ranks 8th in the league, giving up an average of 107.3 points per game. Opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 44.5% and have knocked down 33.9% of their three-point attempts. The Suns also rank 9th in the NBA for defensive rebounds. However, when it comes to forcing turnovers, Phoenix is only 29th, with 12.9 turnovers forced per game.
Denver Nuggets - NBA Betting Analysis
The Nuggets enter today's game having lost two straight, including a 129-124 loss to the Suns. Nikola Jokic led the team in scoring with 53 points on 66.7% shooting. Going into the game, oddsmakers had Denver as the 1.0-point underdog, resulting in an ATS loss for the team.
Now, the Nuggets' overall record sits at 53-29, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. The team's current record at home is 34-7 and 19-22 on the road. For the season, the Nuggets are 49-41 vs. the spread but have failed to cover in 2 straight games.
In their last five games, the Nuggets have averaged 114 points per contest which is similar to their season average. Overall, Denver is ranked 17th in the league with a scoring average of 115.8 points per game. Denver's three-point shooting numbers have been impressive this year, ranking 7th in the NBA with a shooting percentage of 37.9%. However, their overall numbers have suffered from an average pace of 97.9 possessions per game, which is just 31st. Their current field goal percentage of 50.4% is 2nd in the league.
Defensively, the Nuggets are one of the top units in basketball in large part due to their ability to force turnovers. This season, Denver is generating an average of 13.8 turnovers per game which is 2nd in the NBA. They have also done an excellent job cleaning up the boards, ranking 9th in the league. Overall, they are allowing 107.3 points per game (8th) while allowing teams to hit 33.9% of their three-point attempts.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Suns vs. Nuggets
Heading into the 8th meeting of the season between the Nuggets and Suns, each team has four wins and will be looking to get the leg in the head-to-head series. In the most recent game between the two teams, the Suns won by a score of 129-124, along with covering the spread as 1.0-point favorites. The over/under line going into the game was 226.0 points which the teams exceeded.
In the Suns' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 0-5 while going 1-4 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 1-2 ATS and 1-2 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 7-3 with an average of 232 points per contest.
Across Denver's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 1-4 straight-up. As the favorite, the Nuggets are 3-0 straight up on an average scoring differential of 0 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 2-1. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 228 points per game and an over/under mark of 6-4.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: DEN -5.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 227.5
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