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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Monday, May 1st.
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Today's Betting Overview - Suns @ Nuggets
The Suns take on the Nuggets on Monday, May 1st at Ball Arena, Denver. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Phoenix Suns (45-37) vs. Denver Nuggets (53-29)
- Date: Monday, May 1st
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Suns @ Nuggets
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Suns & Nuggets Key Injuries
Suns
- NONE
Nuggets
- NONE
Phoenix Suns - NBA Betting Analysis
In Phoenix's most recent game, Kevin Durant led the team in scoring with 29 points, but the Suns fell to the Nuggets by a score of 125-107 to the Nuggets. Going into the game, oddsmakers had Phoenix as the 4.0-point underdog, resulting in an ATS loss for the team.
Now, the Suns' overall record sits at 45-37, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. The team's current record at home is 28-13 and 17-24 on the road. For the season, the Suns are 45-41 vs. the spread but have failed to cover in two straight games.
Through 88 games, the Suns have put together one of the top-scoring offenses (3rd) at 113.6 points per game. Not only that, but they enter today's game averaging 121 points per game over their last five games. Throughout the season, the Suns have been one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, hitting 37.4% of their looks from deep (5th). Their three-point shooting efficiency has made up for them ranking just 30th in pace at 98.0 possessions per game. So far, their overall field goal percentage is 1st at 46.7%.
This season, the Phoenix defense ranks 7th in the league, giving up an average of 107.3 points per game. Opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 44.5% and have knocked down 33.9% of their three-point attempts. The Suns also rank 9th in the NBA for defensive rebounds. However, when it comes to forcing turnovers, Phoenix is only 28th, with 12.9 turnovers forced per game.
Denver Nuggets - NBA Betting Analysis
After taking down the Suns by a score of 125-107, the Nuggets are riding a two-game win streak. Jamal Murray led the way in scoring with 34 points. Not only did Denver win the game, but they also covered the spread as 4.0-point favorites.
With the win, the team has moved to 53-29, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 34-7 at home and 19-22 on the road. This season, Denver's ATS record sits at 48-39.
In their last five games, the Nuggets have averaged 117 points per contest which is similar to their season average. Overall, Denver is ranked 16th in the league with a scoring average of 115.8 points per game. Denver's three-point shooting numbers have been impressive this year, ranking 4th in the NBA with a shooting percentage of 37.9%. However, their overall numbers have suffered from an average pace of 97.9 possessions per game, which is just 32nd. Their current field goal percentage of 50.4% is 3rd in the league.
Defensively, the Nuggets are one of the top units in basketball in large part due to their ability to force turnovers. This season, Denver is generating an average of 13.8 turnovers per game which is 2nd in the NBA. They have also done an excellent job cleaning up the boards, ranking 9th in the league. Overall, they are allowing 107.3 points per game (7th) while allowing teams to hit 33.9% of their three-point attempts.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Suns vs. Nuggets
The Nuggets currently have a leg up in this year's season series against the Suns. Across five games, the Nuggets have a record of 3-2. The last head-to-head showdown between the teams ended in a 125-107 win for the Nuggets. However, the Suns covered the spread as the 4.0-point underdogs. The over/under line going into the game was 228.0, which they surpassed.
In the Suns' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 0-5 while going 1-4 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 1-2 ATS and 2-1 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 7-3 with an average of 236 points per contest.
Across Denver's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 1-4 straight-up. As the favorite, the Nuggets are 2-1 straight up on an average scoring differential of 4 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 1-2. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 223 points per game and an over/under mark of 6-4.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: PHO +4.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 227.5
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