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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Monday, July 3rd 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Reds vs. Nationals
The Reds take on the Nationals on Monday, July 3rd 2023 at Nationals Park, Washington. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds (45-39) vs. Washington Nationals (34-49)
- Date: Monday, July 3rd 2023
- Time: 6:05 ET
- Venue: Nationals Park, Washington
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Reds vs. Nationals
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Cincinnati Reds - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Cincinnati Reds travel to take on the Washington Nationals with a record of 45-39, placing them 1st in the NL Central. In their 40 games as the road team, Cincinnati has put together a record of 22-18.
Across their 84 games, Cincinnati has been favored 20 times, yet their record against the runline is above .500. The team's over/under record comes in at 49-35 with an average betting line of 9.
Reds starter Luke Weaver comes into the game with a record of just 1-2. Luke Weaver will be looking to bring down an ERA of 6.96. His batting average allowed of .308 is high compared to other pitchers. Luke Weaver has given up 14 home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .385. Weaver has a WHIP of 1.61, with 20 walks allowed.
Entering today's action, Cincinnati features the 7th-ranked scoring unit, averaging 5 runs per game. The Reds have been able to drive in runs at an above average rate as their team batting average of .256 ranks 7th in the league. So far, the team is the 18th-rated home run hitting team, with a total of 88 long balls. To date, Cincinnati has the MLB's 4th best OBP at .335.
Washington Nationals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Washington Nationals come into this road contest vs Cincinnati with a below .500 record (34-49). In the NL East division standings, the team ranks 5th. In their 40 games at Nationals Park, the Nationals have a record of just 13-27.
Washington currently has an above .500 (48-35) record against the runline. This mark has come while being favored three times in 83 games. The team has an over/under record of 39-41, with an average betting line of 9.
The Nationals will send Jake Irvin to the mound with an overall record of 1-4. Jake Irvin will take the mound with an ERA of 4.72. To date, he has a batting average allowed of .251. Opposing hitters have gone deep five times against Jake Irvin, who has a WOBA allowed of .319. Irvin's WHIP of 1.49 comes along with a total of 25 walks allowed.
On offense, Washington comes into the game averaging 4.1 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. Heading into play, the Nationals are the 4th unit in team batting average, currently hitting .261. So far, home runs have been elusive for the team, as they rank 25th in the league, at 68 home runs. Washington's offense currently sits 15th in OBP, coming in at .317.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Reds vs. Nationals
Heading into today's matchup between Cincinnati and Washington, the Reds are the betting favorite at -129 on the moneyline. Cincinnati's implied win probability sits at 56.33%. Led by a strong offensive performance, the MLB predictive model recommends taking the Reds on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Reds Moneyline -129
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