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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Detroit Tigers vs. Miami Marlins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday, July 29th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Tigers vs. Marlins
The Tigers take on the Marlins on Saturday, July 29th 2023 at loanDepot Park, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Detroit Tigers (46-58) vs. Miami Marlins (56-48)
- Date: Saturday, July 29th 2023
- Time: 4:10 ET
- Venue: loanDepot Park, Miami
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Tigers vs. Marlins
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Detroit Tigers - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Miami, the Tigers have a record of just 46-58. This places the team 3rd in the AL Central. The Tigers will need a win in today's game to move their record on the road (24-28) above the .500 mark.
Despite being favored 19 times in 104 games, Detroit has managed to maintain an above .500 record against the runline. With an average betting line of 8 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 54-46.
Against Miami, the Tigers will send Beau Brieske to the mound. Through five appearances, he has yet to factor into a decision. Heading into action, Beau Brieske has an ERA of 4.76. In his outings, opposing batters are hitting .261 against the right-hander. When looking at how opposing batters are faring in the power department, Beau Brieske has a WOBA allowed of .312 and has yet to be tagged for a home run. Brieske has a WHIP of 1.24, with one walk allowed.
This year, runs have been hard to come by for Detroit's offense, as they are the 27th-ranked scoring team at 3.9. Although the team has struggled to score runs, their combined batting average of .231 comes in closer to the league average. The team's lineup has gone deep a total of 96 times, good for 22nd in the league. Up to this point, Detroit has been getting on base at a rate of .299, placing them 19th in all of baseball.
Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 56-48, the Detroit Tigers will host the Detroit Tigers, currently ranked 3rd in the NL East. When playing at loanDepot Park, the Marlins have played well, posting a record of 32-20.
Miami's record against the runline sits at 48-56 while being favored 51 times in 104 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 49-52 with an average betting line of 8.
Johnny Cueto gets the starting nod for Miami, looking to improve his overall record of 0-1. Johnny Cueto will take the mound with an ERA of 4.50. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .171. So far, Cueto has given up two home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .276. Cueto has a WHIP of .90, with three walks allowed.
Miami's' offense comes into this game averaging just 4.1 runs per game, placing them 25th in the MLB. Despite their mediocre scoring average, the Marlins have combined to hit .264, which ranks 4th in the league. So far, home runs have been hard to come by for the team, as they have hit just 93 (24th). Miami's strong OBP of .321 is 8th best in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Tigers vs. Marlins
Heading into today's matchup between Miami and Detroit, the Marlins are the betting favorite at -159 on the moneyline. Miami's implied win probability sits at 61.39%. The MLB predictive model shows the Tigers pulling off the upset over Miami. It is recommended to take Detroit on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Tigers Moneyline +134
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