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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Friday, May 12th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Reds vs. Marlins
The Reds take on the Marlins on Friday, May 12th 2023 at loanDepot Park, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds (16-21) vs. Miami Marlins (19-19)
- Date: Friday, May 12th 2023
- Time: 6:40 ET
- Venue: loanDepot Park, Miami
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Reds vs. Marlins
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Cincinnati Reds - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Cincinnati Reds take on the Miami hoping to improve on their record of just 16-21, placing them 4th in the NL Central. In their 16 games on the road, the Reds have a record of just 4-12.
Despite being favored 11 times in 37 games, Cincinnati has managed to maintain an above .500 record against the runline. The team's over/under record comes in at 19-18 with an average betting line of 9.
Making the start for Cincinnati is Graham Ashcraft, with a record of 2-1. Graham Ashcraft boasts an ERA of 3.82. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .230 against him. Graham Ashcraft has given up two home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .300. Ashcraft's WHIP of 1.33 comes along with a total of 18 walks allowed.
On offense, Cincinnati comes into the game averaging 4.2 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. Together, the Reds' offense has the 15th-ranked batting average, at .245. Along with their low batting average, the team has hit just 28 home runs (28th). To date, Cincinnati has the MLB's 16th-rated OBP, sitting at .320.
Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Miami hosts Cincinnati, ranked 2nd in the NL East with a .500 record sitting at NL East. Through 19 home contests, the Marlins come in with a mark of 10-9 at loanDepot Park.
Miami's record against the runline, while being favored 13 times in 38 games, sits at 14-24. The team's over/under record comes in at 16-20 with an average betting line of 8.
For Miami, Bryan Hoeing will look to pick up a win over Cincinnati, as he has a record of 0-1. With an ERA of 5.25, Bryan Hoeing has had his struggles on the mound. In today's game, he will look to do a better job limiting base runners, as his batting average allowed sits at .292. With a WOBA allowed of .332, Bryan Hoeing has not given up a home run so far this year. Hoeing has a WHIP of 1.50, with four walks allowed.
Miami's' offense comes into this game averaging just 3.4 runs per game, placing them 29th in the MLB. So far, the Marlins have combined for a team batting average of .246, placing them 14th in the league. In terms of home runs, the team is struggling to generate power at just 33 deep shots (24th). To date, Miami has the MLB's 28th-rated OBP, sitting at .300.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Reds vs. Marlins
Heading into today's matchup between Miami and Cincinnati, the Marlins are the betting favorite at -147 on the moneyline. Miami's implied win probability sits at 59.51%. The MLB predictive model has the Marlins picking up the win. However, it is recommended to stick to the moneyline for today's action.
Recommended Betting Pick: Marlins Moneyline
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