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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday, July 9th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Marlins
The Phillies take on the Marlins on Sunday, July 9th 2023 at loanDepot Park, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (48-40) vs. Miami Marlins (52-39)
- Date: Sunday, July 9th 2023
- Time: 1:40 ET
- Venue: loanDepot Park, Miami
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Marlins
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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 48-40, the Philadelphia Phillies travel to take on the Miami Marlins, ranked 3rd in the NL East. So far, Philadelphia has been tough as the road team, putting together a mark of 26-24.
Philadelphia's record against the runline stands at 38-50, even though they have been favored in 54 of their 88 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 34-47 with an average betting line of 9.
Philadelphia pitcher Aaron Nola gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 8-5. Aaron Nola will take the mound with an ERA of 4.30. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .220. Aaron Nola has given up 18 home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .290. With a total of 30 walks, Nola has a WHIP of 1.10.
Philadelphia's offense enters play with the 16th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Phillies have combined to hit .259, which ranks 5th in the league. The team's lineup has gone deep at toal of 98 times this season, placing them 14th in the league. Up to this point, Philadelphia has been one of the MLB's better teams at getting on base, ranking 10th at .321.
Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Miami Marlins host the Philadelphia Phillies, they have a record of 52-39, placing them 2nd in the NL East. When playing at loanDepot Park, the Marlins have played well, posting a record of 29-18.
Miami's record against the runline sits at 44-47 while being favored 44 times in 91 games. The team has an over/under record of 42-46, with an average betting line of 8.
For Miami, Jesús Luzardo gets the start, currently holding a record of 7-5. Coming into play, Miami Marlins has put together an ERA of 3.32. Currently, opponents are batting just .235 against the left-hander. Jesús Luzardo has given up 11 home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .302. Luzardo's WHIP of 1.16 comes along with a total of 26 walks allowed.
On offense, Miami comes into the game averaging 4.2 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. Heading into play, the Marlins are the 3rd unit in team batting average, currently hitting .264. In terms of home runs, Miami ranks 18th, with a total of 84 home runs. Miami's offense has done a good job getting on base, ranking 7th with an OBP of .324.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Marlins
Heading into today's matchup between Miami and Philadelphia, the Marlins are the betting favorite at -122 on the moneyline. Miami's implied win probability sits at 54.95%. The MLB predictive model has the Marlins picking up the win. However, it is recommended to stick to the moneyline for today's action.
Recommended Betting Pick: Marlins Moneyline -122
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