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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday, May 18th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Nationals vs. Marlins
The Nationals take on the Marlins on Thursday, May 18th 2023 at loanDepot Park, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Washington Nationals (18-25) vs. Miami Marlins (22-21)
- Date: Thursday, May 18th 2023
- Time: 1:10 ET
- Venue: loanDepot Park, Miami
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Nationals vs. Marlins
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Washington Nationals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Miami, the Nationals have a record of just 18-25. This places the team 5th in the NL East. Washington will be looking to move their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 10-11 away from home.
With a 28-15 record against the runline, Washington has went into every game as the underdog. The team has an over/under record of 19-23, with an average betting line of 9.
Trevor Williams gets the starting nod for Washington, looking to improve his overall record of 1-1. Currently, Trevor Williams has an ERA of 4.23. In his outings, opposing batters are hitting .279 against the right-hander. Opposing hitters have gone deep six times against Trevor Williams, who has a WOBA allowed of .340. Williams' WHIP of 1.30 comes along with a total of nine walks allowed.
On offense, Washington has struggled to bring runners across the plate, averaging just 4.0 runs per game. Although, through 43 games, the Nationals have a team batting average of .259, ranking 8th. Although the team is hitting for a high batting average, they have struggled to generate power, ranking 29th in the league, at 28 home runs. To date, Washington has the MLB's 13th-rated OBP, sitting at .323.
Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Miami Marlins host the Washington Nationals, they have a record of 22-21, placing them 2nd in the NL East. Through 24 home contests, the Marlins come in with a mark of 13-11 at loanDepot Park.
Being favored 18 times in 43 games, Miami has a record against the runline of 15-28. The team's over/under record comes in at 19-22 with an average betting line of 8.
Eury Perez will take the mound having yet to factor into a decision, still sitting with a record of 0-0. So far, Eury Perez has put together an ERA of 3.86 across his one outing. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .190. So far, Perez has given up two home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .325. Perez has a WHIP of 1.29, with two walks allowed.
This year, runs have been hard to come by for Miami's offense, as they are the 28th-ranked scoring team at 3.5. Through 43 games, the Marlins have the 14th-ranked batting average at .250. Overall, the team has hit just 39 home runs, placing them 24th in the league. Up to this point, Miami has been getting on base at a rate of just .306, placing them 26th in all of baseball.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Nationals vs. Marlins
Heading into today's matchup between Miami and Washington, the Marlins are the betting favorite at -155 on the moneyline. Miami's implied win probability sits at 60.78%. The MLB predictive model shows the Marlins pitching to carry the team to a win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an advantage to take Miami on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Marlins -1.5
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