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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday, May 16th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Nationals vs. Marlins
The Nationals take on the Marlins on Tuesday, May 16th 2023 at loanDepot Park, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Washington Nationals (18-23) vs. Miami Marlins (20-21)
- Date: Tuesday, May 16th 2023
- Time: 6:40 ET
- Venue: loanDepot Park, Miami
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Nationals vs. Marlins
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Washington Nationals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Washington Nationals come into this road contest vs Miami with a below .500 record (18-23). In the NL East standings, the team ranks 5th. In their 19 games on the road, the Nationals have a strong record of 10-9.
Washington has been the underdog in each of their games this season, but they have still managed a 26-15 record vs. the runline. The team's over/under record comes in at 18-22 with an average betting line of 9.
Josiah Gray gets the starting nod for Washington, looking to improve his overall record of 3-5. Coming into the game, Josiah Gray has been tough on opposing hitters, posting an era of just 2.96. Currently, opponents are batting just .241 against the right-hander. Opposing hitters have gone deep five times against Josiah Gray, who has a WOBA allowed of .314. With a total of 19 walks, Gray has a WHIP of 1.31.
Washington has struggled to score runs this season, currently ranking 25th in scoring with an average of 4.0 runs per game. Heading into play, the Nationals are hoping their strong batting average of .259 will start translating into runs. So far, home runs have been elusive for the team, as they rank 29th in the league, at 26 home runs. Washington's offense currently sits 12th in OBP, coming in at .324.
Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Washington, the Marlins have a record of just 20-21. This places the team 3rd in the NL East. Miami will be looking to move above .500 at home, as they are currently 11-11 at loanDepot Park.
Miami's record against the runline sits at 15-26 while being favored 16 times in 41 games. With an average betting line of 8 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 18-21.
Starting for the Marlins will be Jesús Luzardo, with an overall record of 3-2. Coming into play, Miami Marlins has put together an ERA of 3.38. In his outings, opposing batters are hitting .273 against the left-hander. Jesús Luzardo has given up five home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .356. Luzardo's WHIP of 1.41 comes along with a total of 16 walks allowed.
Miami has struggled to score runs this season, currently ranking 29th in scoring with an average of 3.4 runs per game. Although the team has struggled to score runs, their combined batting average of .247 comes in closer to the league average. Along with their low batting average, the team has hit just 37 home runs (24th). To date, Miami has the MLB's 26th-rated OBP, sitting at .304.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Nationals vs. Marlins
Heading into today's matchup between Miami and Washington, the Marlins are the betting favorite at -149 on the moneyline. Miami's implied win probability sits at 59.84%. Led by a strong offensive performance, the MLB predictive model recommends taking the Marlins on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Marlins Moneyline
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