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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday, May 4th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Braves vs. Marlins
The Braves take on the Marlins on Thursday, May 4th 2023 at loanDepot Park, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves (21-10) vs. Miami Marlins (16-15)
- Date: Thursday, May 4th 2023
- Time: 4:10 ET
- Venue: loanDepot Park, Miami
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Braves vs. Marlins
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Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Atlanta Braves enter play ranked 1st in the NL East with an overall record of 21-10. So far, Atlanta has been tough as the road team, putting together a mark of 14-3.
Atlanta currently has an above .500 record against the runline (16-15). So far, they have been favored in 27 of their 31 games. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 18-12.
For Atlanta, Dylan Dodd will look to pick up a win over Miami, as he has a record of 1-1. With an ERA of 7.71, Dylan Dodd has had his struggles on the mound. Compared to other pitchers, he has an elevated batting average allowed (.390). So far, Dodd has given up two home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .450. Dodd has a WHIP of 1.82, with one walk allowed.
Entering today's action, Atlanta features the 5th-ranked scoring unit, averaging 5.5 runs per game. Heading into play, the Braves are the 7th-ranked unit in team batting average. Combined, the team is batting .260. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above average rate, with 52 home runs (3rd). Atlanta's offense has done a good job getting on base, ranking 2nd with an OBP of .343.
Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 16-15, the Atlanta Braves will host the Atlanta Braves, currently ranked 3rd in the NL East. Through 18 home contests, the Marlins come in with a mark of 10-8 at loanDepot Park.
Miami's record against the runline, while being favored 11 times in 31 games, sits at 12-19. The team's over/under record comes in at 13-16 with an average betting line of 8.
Miami pitcher Jesús Luzardo gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 2-1. So far, Jesús Luzardo has put together an ERA of 3.48 across his six outings. The left-hander has a batting average allowed of .264. So far, Luzardo has given up four home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .348. Luzardo has a WHIP of 1.34, with 11 walks allowed.
This year, runs have been hard to come by for Miami's offense, as they are the 29th-ranked scoring team at 3.4. Through 31 games, the Marlins have the 15th-ranked batting average at .249. Along with their low batting average, the team has hit just 27 home runs (24th). Up to this point, Miami has been getting on base at a rate of .308, placing them 23rd in all of baseball.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Braves vs. Marlins
Heading into today's matchup between Atlanta and Miami, the Braves are the betting favorite at -113 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 53.05%. Led by a strong offensive performance, the MLB predictive model recommends taking the Braves on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Braves Moneyline
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