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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Houston Astros vs. Miami Marlins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Wednesday, August 16th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Astros vs. Marlins
The Astros take on the Marlins on Wednesday, August 16th 2023 at loanDepot Park, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Houston Astros (69-52) vs. Miami Marlins (63-58)
- Date: Wednesday, August 16th 2023
- Time: 6:40 ET
- Venue: loanDepot Park, Miami
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Astros vs. Marlins
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Houston Astros - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Houston Astros host the Miami Marlins, they have a record of 69-52, placing them 2nd in the AL West. In their 62 games as the road team, Houston has put together a record of 36-26.
Having been favored in 71.1% of their games, Houston has an above .500 record against the runline at 61-60. The team has an over/under record of 59-59, with an average betting line of 8.
Making the start for Houston is Justin Verlander, with a record of 7-6. Coming into play, Houston Astros has put together an ERA of 3.19. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .221. Opposing hitters have gone deep 11 times against Justin Verlander, who has a WOBA allowed of .279. Verlander's WHIP of 1.15 comes along with a total of 33 walks allowed.
Offensively, Houston has had no problem putting up runs, as their scoring average of 4.9 runs per game, ranks 6th in the MLB. The Astros are enjoying offensive success as their team batting average ranks 10th at .251. So far, Houston's lineup has also been able to hit for power, with a total of 156 home runs, which ranks 8th. To date, Houston has the MLB's 8th best OBP at .324.
Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 63-58, the Houston Astros will host the Houston Astros, currently ranked 3rd in the NL East. In their 63 games at loanDepot Park, the Marlins have a strong record of 37-26.
Being favored 59 times in 121 games, Miami has a record against the runline of 56-65. The team's over/under record comes in at 55-63 with an average betting line of 8.
Miami pitcher Jesús Luzardo gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 8-7. Through 24 appearances, Jesús Luzardo has an ERA of 3.90. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .245. So far, Luzardo has given up 18 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .316. With a total of 38 walks, Luzardo has a WHIP of 1.24.
Miami's' offense comes into this game averaging just 4.1 runs per game, placing them 24th in the MLB. Heading into play, the Marlins are hoping their strong batting average of .262 will start translating into runs. So far, the team is the 22nd-rated home run hitting team, with a total of 115 long balls. Up to this point, Miami has been getting on base at a rate of .317, placing them 12th in all of baseball.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Astros vs. Marlins
Heading into today's matchup between Houston and Miami, the Astros are the betting favorite at -130 on the moneyline. Houston's implied win probability sits at 56.52%. The MLB predictive model shows Houston picking up the win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an edge to take the Astros on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Astros -1.5
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