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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Tuesday, May 2nd.
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Today's Betting Overview - Heat @ Knicks
The Heat take on the Knicks on Tuesday, May 2nd at Madison Square Garden, New York. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Miami Heat (44-38) vs. New York Knicks (47-35)
- Date: Tuesday, May 2nd
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Madison Square Garden
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Heat @ Knicks
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Heat & Knicks Key Injuries
Heat
- Jimmy Butler (Questionable) Ankle
- Victor Oladipo (Out) Knee
- Haywood Highsmith (Probable) Knee
- Tyler Herro (Out) Hand
Knicks
- Julius Randle (Questionable) Ankle
- Jalen Brunson (Questionable) Ankle
- Jericho Sims (Out) Shoulder
Miami Heat - NBA Betting Analysis
After taking down the Knicks by a score of 108-101, the Heat are riding a four game win streak. Jimmy Butler led the way in scoring with 25 points. Miami was the 4.0 point underdog heading into the game, giving them an ATS win.
With the win, the team has moved to 44-38, placing them 8th in the Eastern Conference. So far this season, they have gone 27-14 at home and 17-24 on the road. Even though the Heat have rattled off four straight wins against the spread, their overall ATS record is 37-51.
Through 90 games, the Heat have put together one of the top-scoring offenses (11th) at 109.5 points per game. Not only that, but they enter today's game averaging 119 points per game over their last five games. Throughout the season, the Heat have been one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, hitting 34.4% of their looks from deep (2nd). Their three-point shooting efficiency has made up for them ranking just 17th in pace at 96.2 possessions per game. So far, their overall field goal percentage is 11th at 46.0%.
This season, the Heat have allowed an average of 105.6 points per game, good for 2nd in the league. In terms of three-point shooting, opponents have knocked down 34.0% of their looks from beyond the arc (21st) and 44.8% of their overall field goal attempts. Miami's overall defensive numbers have been good despite the unit's struggles on the glass, sitting just 16th in defensive rebounds per game. The Heat are also a below-average group in forced turnovers, at just 12.8 per game.
New York Knicks - NBA Betting Analysis
In New York's most recent game, RJ Barrett led the team in scoring with 26 points, but the Knicks fell to the Heat by a score of 108-101 to the Heat. Going into the game, New York was 4.0 point favorites, adding an ATS loss to their resume.
Now, the Knicks' overall record sits at 47-35, placing them 5th in the Eastern Conference. The team's current record at home is 23-18 and 24-17 on the road. This season, New York's ATS record sits at 49-37.
Currently, the Knicks are ranked 15th among all NBA teams with an average of 116.0 points per game. However, if their recent performance is any indication, they may drop in the rankings soon. Over their last five games, they have averaged just 99 points per contest. The Knicks have struggled with three-point shooting, making only 35.4% of their attempts, placing them just 29th in the league. Their overall field goal percentage enters as 47.0% (11th). Additionally, the team's pace of play is slower than the league average, at 97.7 possessions per game, placing them 34th. In terms of getting to the line, the Knicks are 28th in attempts and 6th in free-throw shooting percentage.
This season, New York has put together a strong defensive unit, allowing just 105.6 points per game (2nd). But despite their strong overall numbers, they have been vulnerable on the glass, sitting just 16th in defensive rebounds per game. Yet, the Knicks have been excellent at forcing turnovers, averaging 12.0 per game, placing them 9th in the NBA. For the season, they have allowed teams to hit 34.0% of their three-point shots and 44.8% of their overall shots from the field.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Heat vs. Knicks
The Knicks currently have a leg up in this year's season series against the Heat. Across five games, the Knicks have a record of 3-2. In the previous head-to-head matchup, the Heat came out on top by a score of 108-101. Miami went into the game as 4.0-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. The combined 209 was less than the over/under line of 210.0.
In the Heat's previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 4-1 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 2-1 ATS and 2-1 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 7-3 with an average of 226 points per contest.
Across New York's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 3-1-1 while going 3-2 straight-up. As the favorite, the Knicks are 2-1 straight up on an average scoring differential of 0 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 2-1. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 220 points per game and an over/under mark of 3-7.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: MIA +6.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 206.5
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