Jose Alvarado (RP, TB) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 190

ANALYSIS: Tampa Bay Rays reliever Jose Alvarado has performed well enough to cement himself as the opening day closer for the team. He followed up a solid introductory year in 2017 with an even more impressive performance in 2018. Alvarado threw 64 innings, striking out 80 batters and racking up eight saves, 32 holds, and a 2.39 ERA. He has become even more impressive since using his third pitch (slider) more often and more confidently, which ultimately became his punch-out pitch with a 62.4% strikeout percentage.

Overall, Alvarado improved his strikeout rate by seven percent (30.4%); however, his walk rate also increased (11%). This isn’t a major concern as he improved as the year went along. He had an 11.7% walk rate in the first half but dropped it to a 9.9% in the second half. Another positive is that Alvarado is without-a-doubt a ground-ball pitcher (55%); this is one of the primary reasons he only allowed one homer the entire season.

In 2019, Alvarado should have a solid hold on the closer’s job. Once he can reduce the walks, he will move towards becoming an elite closer. Alvarado is the 32nd ranked reliever and has an ADP of 171, which means he will be available until nearly the 14th round. This is an excellent value for someone who should have the closer role and provide very good stats.