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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Friday, June 9th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Nuggets @ Heat
The Nuggets take on the Heat on Friday, June 9th at Kaseya Center, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Denver Nuggets (53-29) vs. Miami Heat (44-38)
- Date: Friday, June 9th
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Nuggets @ Heat
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Nuggets & Heat Key Injuries
Nuggets
- NONE
Heat
- Victor Oladipo (Out) Knee
- Tyler Herro (Out) Hand
Denver Nuggets - NBA Betting Analysis
The Nuggets enter today's game looking to build some momentum after a 109-94 win over the Heat. Jamal Murray and his 34 points led the way for the Nuggets. Not only did Denver win the game, but they also covered the spread as 3.5-point favorites. This season, Denver's ATS record sits at 55-44.
For the season, the Nuggets are the 15th-ranked scoring unit in the NBA at 115.8 points per game. But looking at their previous five games, the team is in danger of falling in the rankings as they have averaged just 110 points per contest. Denver's three-point shooting numbers are among the best in the NBA, as the team ranks 5th in the NBA, having hit 37.9% of their looks from deep. But given that they are just 30th in possessions per game, their overall scoring numbers are closer to the league average. Currently, the Nuggets are 1st in overall field goal percentage.
This season, the Denver defense ranks 6th in the league, giving up an average of 110.4 points per game. Opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 47.1% and have knocked down 34.4% of their three-point attempts. The Nuggets also rank 1st in the NBA for defensive rebounds. However, when it comes to forcing turnovers, Denver is only 17th, with 13.8 turnovers forced per game.
Miami Heat - NBA Betting Analysis
In Miami's most recent game, Jimmy Butler led the team in scoring with 28 points, but the Heat fell to the Nuggets by a score of 109-94 to the Nuggets. Going into the game, oddsmakers had Miami as the 3.5-point underdog, resulting in an ATS loss for the team. Miami's record against the spread is below .500 at 46-57.
The Heat's offense has been up and down offensively all season long with an average of 109.5 points per game. To make matters worse, they have seen a drop in production lately, averaging just 100 points per contest over their last five games. This season, the Heat have averaged just 96.2 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, they are one of the more efficient teams in the league (5th) with a percentage of 37.9%. Their overall field goal percentage of 50.4% places them 1st in the NBA.
Defensively, the Heat are one of the top units in basketball in large part due to their ability to force turnovers. This season, Miami is generating an average of 12.8 turnovers per game which is 5th in the NBA. Overall, they are allowing 110.4 points per game (6th) while allowing teams to hit 34.4% of their three-point attempts.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Nuggets vs. Heat
Today's matchup will be the 5th game of the season between the Nuggets and Heat. So far, the Nuggets have the leg up in the series 4-1. The most recent game between the teams resulted in both a straight-up and ATS win for the Nuggets (109-94). Their combined 203 points fell below the over/under line of 213.
In the Nuggets' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 2-3 against the spread. In their last three road contests, they are 3-0 ATS and 3-0 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 4-6 with an average of 228 points per contest.
Across Miami's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 3-2 straight-up. As the underdog, the Heat are 1-2 straight up on an average scoring differential of -8 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 1-2. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 213 points per game and an over/under mark of 4-6.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: DEN -3.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 210.5
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