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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Saturday, May 6th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Knicks @ Heat
The Knicks take on the Heat on Saturday, May 6th at Kaseya Center, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: New York Knicks (47-35) vs. Miami Heat (44-38)
- Date: Saturday, May 6th
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Knicks @ Heat
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Knicks & Heat Key Injuries
Knicks
- Jericho Sims (Out) Shoulder
Heat
- Jimmy Butler (Questionable) Ankle
- Victor Oladipo (Out) Knee
- Haywood Highsmith (Probable) Knee
- Tyler Herro (Out) Hand
- Caleb Martin (Questionable) Back
New York Knicks - NBA Betting Analysis
The Knicks enter today's game looking to build some momentum after a 111-105 win over the Heat. Jalen Brunson and his 30 led the way for the Knicks. Heading into their previous matchup against the Heat, the Knicks were favored by -10.0, giving them an ATS loss.
With the win, the team has moved to 47-35, placing them 5th in the Eastern Conference. So far this season, they have gone 23-18 at home and 24-17 on the road. For the season, the Knicks are 49-38 vs. the spread but have failed to cover in two straight games.
For the season, the Knicks are the 15th ranked scoring unit in the NBA at 116.0 points per game. But looking at their previous five games, the team is danger of falling in the rankings as they have averaged just 103 points per contest. So far, the Knicks' shooters have hit just 35.4% of their three-point field goal attempts, placing them just 29th in the league. As a whole, the team is 26th in field goal percentage at 47.0%. In terms of pace, New York is below the league average at 97.7 possessions per game (33rd).
This season, the New York defense ranks 9th in the league, giving up an average of 106.6 points per game. Opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 44.9% and have knocked down 34.2% of their three-point attempts. The Knicks also rank 4th in the NBA for defensive rebounds. However, when it comes to forcing turnovers, New York is only 35th, with 12.0 turnovers forced per game.
Miami Heat - NBA Betting Analysis
In Miami's most recent game, Caleb Martin led the team in scoring with 22 points, but the Heat fell to the Knicks by a score of 111-105 to the Knicks. Despite the straight up loss, Miami covered the spread as they were 10.0 point underdogs going into the game.
Now, the Heat's overall record sits at 44-38, placing them 8th in the Eastern Conference. The team's current record at home is 27-14 and 17-24 on the road. Even though the Heat have rattled off 5 straight wins against the spread, their overall ATS record is 38-51.
With a scoring average of 109.5 points per game, the Heat rank 19th among the league's offenses. In their last five games have picked up their production, with an average of 116 points scored per contest. Miami's three-point shooting numbers have been impressive this year, ranking 1st in the NBA with a shooting percentage of 34.4%. However, their overall numbers have suffered from an average pace of 96.2 possessions per game, which is just 21st. Their current field goal percentage of 46.0% is 14th in the league.
Defensively, the Heat are one of the top units in basketball in large part due to their ablity to force turnovers. This season, Miami is generating an average of 12.8 turnovers per game which is 9th in the NBA. They have also done an excellent job cleaning up the boards, ranking 4th in the league. Overall, they are allowing 106.6 points per game (9th) while allowing teams to hit 34.2% of their three-point attempts.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Knicks vs. Heat
Today's matchup will be the 6th game of the season between the Knicks and Heat. So far, the Knicks have the leg up in the series 4-2. In the most recent game between the two teams, the Knicks won by a score of 111-105 but did not cover as 10.0 point favorites. The over/under line going into the game was 207.5 points which the teams exceeded.
In the Knicks' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 3-1-1 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 2-1 ATS and 2-1 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 3-7 with an average of 219 points per contest.
Across Miami's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 4-1 while going 3-2 straight-up. As the favorite, the Heat are 2-1 straight up on an average scoring differential of 1 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 2-1. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 228 points per game and an over/under mark of 7-3.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: MIA -4
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 209.0
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