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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Saturday, May 27th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Celtics @ Heat
The Celtics take on the Heat on Saturday, May 27th at Kaseya Center, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Boston Celtics (57-25) vs. Miami Heat (44-38)
- Date: Saturday, May 27th
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Celtics @ Heat
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Celtics & Heat Key Injuries
Celtics
- Danilo Gallinari (Out) Knee
- Malcolm Brogdon (Questionable) Forearm
Heat
- Victor Oladipo (Out) Knee
- Gabe Vincent (Questionable) Ankle
- Tyler Herro (Out) Hand
Boston Celtics - NBA Betting Analysis
After taking down the Heat by a score of 110-97, the Celtics are riding a two-game win streak. Derrick White led the way in scoring with 24 points. Not only did Boston win the game, but they also covered the spread as 8.5-point favorites.
With the win, the team has moved to 57-25, placing them 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far this season, they have gone 32-9 at home and 25-16 on the road. The Celtics have a two-game win streak against the spread and have an overall ATS mark of 54-44.
The Celtics come into today's matchup as one of the top-scoring teams in the league at 117.9 points per game (6th). However, their production has slowed down of late, averaging just 109 points per game over their last five contests. Throughout the season, the Celtics have been one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, hitting 37.7% of their looks from deep (5th). Their three-point shooting efficiency has made up for them ranking just 18th in pace at 99.3 possessions per game. So far, their overall field goal percentage is 11th at 47.5%.
This season, the Celtics have allowed an average of 104.5 points per game, good for 4th in the league. In terms of three-point shooting, opponents have knocked down 33.9% of their looks from beyond the arc (5th) and 43.5% of their overall field goal attempts. Boston's overall defensive numbers have been good despite the unit's struggles on the glass, sitting just 24th in defensive rebounds per game. The Celtics are also a below-average group in forced turnovers, at just 12.7 per game.
Miami Heat - NBA Betting Analysis
The Heat enter today's game having lost two straight, including a 110-97 loss to the Celtics. Duncan Robinson led the team in scoring with 18 points on 70.0% shooting. Going into the game, oddsmakers had Miami as the 8.5-point underdog, resulting in an ATS loss for the team.
Now, the Heat's overall record sits at 44-38, placing them 8th in the Eastern Conference. The team's current record at home is 27-14 and 17-24 on the road. The Heat have failed to cover the spread in 2 straight games and have an overall ATS record of 43-55.
Going into today's game, the Heat are ranked 36th in scoring with an average of 109.5 points per contest. Over their five most recent games, the team has been scoring an average of 220 points per game. This season, the Heat are ranked 39th in terms of pace with an average of 96.2 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, they are one of the more efficient teams in the league (5th) with a percentage of 37.7%. Their overall field goal percentage of 47.5% places them 11th in the NBA.
This season, Miami has put together a strong defensive unit, allowing just 104.5 points per game (4th). But despite their strong overall numbers, they have been vulnerable on the glass, sitting just 24th in defensive rebounds per game. Yet, the Heat have been excellent at forcing turnovers, averaging 12.8 per game, placing them 9th in the NBA. For the season, they have allowed teams to hit 33.9% of their three-point shots and 43.5% of their overall shots from the field.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Celtics vs. Heat
The Heat currently have a leg up in this year's season series against the Celtics. Across nine games, the Heat have a record of 5-4. The most recent game between the teams resulted in both a straight-up and ATS win for the Celtics (110-97). Their combined 207 points fell below the over/under line of 214.5.
In the Celtics' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 against the spread. In their last three road contests, they are 2-1 ATS and 2-1 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 6-4 with an average of 218 points per contest.
Across Miami's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 2-3 straight-up. As the underdog, the Heat are 2-1 straight up on an average scoring differential of 7 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 1-2. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 222 points per game and an over/under mark of 6-4.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: BOS -3
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 210.0
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