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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Sunday, May 21st.
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Today's Betting Overview - Celtics @ Heat
The Celtics take on the Heat on Sunday, May 21st at Kaseya Center, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Boston Celtics (57-25) vs. Miami Heat (44-38)
- Date: Sunday, May 21st
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Celtics @ Heat
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Celtics & Heat Key Injuries
Celtics
- Danilo Gallinari (Out) Knee
Heat
- Victor Oladipo (Out) Knee
- Tyler Herro (Out) Hand
Boston Celtics - NBA Betting Analysis
The Celtics enter today's game having lost two straight, including a 111-105 loss to the Heat. Jayson Tatum led the team in scoring with 34 points on 50.0% shooting. Going into the game, Boston was 10.0 point favorites, adding an ATS loss to their resume.
Now, the Celtics' overall record sits at 57-25, placing them 2nd in the Eastern Conference. The team's current record at home is 32-9 and 25-16 on the road. For the season, the Celtics are 52-43 vs. the spread but have failed to cover in two straight games.
The Celtics come into today's matchup as one of the top scoring teams in the league at 117.9 points per game (6th). However, their production has slowed down of late, averaging just 106 points per game over their last five contests. Throughout the season, the Celtics have been one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, hitting 37.7% of their looks from dide (3rd). Their three-point shooting efficiency has made up for them ranking just 18th in pace at 99.3 possessions per game. So far, their overall field goal percentage is 7th at 47.5%.
This season, the Celtics have allowed an average of 104.5 points per game, good for 4th in the league. In terms of three-point shooting, opponents have knocked down 33.9% of their looks from beyond the arc (5th) and 43.5% of their overall field goal attempts. Boston's overall defensive numbers have been good despite the units struggles on the glass, sitting just 26th in defensive rebounds per game. The Celtics are also a below average group in forced turnovers, at just 12.7 per game.
Miami Heat - NBA Betting Analysis
After taking down the Celtics by a score of 111-105, the Heat are riding a three game win streak. Jimmy Butler led the way in scoring with 27 points. Miami was the 10.0 point underdog heading into the game, giving them an ATS win.
With the win, the team has moved to 44-38, placing them 8th in the Eastern Conference. So far this season, they have gone 27-14 at home and 17-24 on the road. Even though the Heat have rattled off 2 straight wins against the spread, their overall ATS record is 42-53.
Going into today's game, the Heat are ranked 34th in scoring with an average of 109.5 points per contest. Over their five most recent games, the team has been scoring an average of 213 points per game. This season, the Heat are ranked 38th in terms of pace with an average of 96.2 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, they are one of the more efficient teams in the league (3rd) with a percentage of 37.7%. Their overall field goal percentage of 47.5% places them 7th in the NBA.
This season, Miami has put together a strong defensive unit, allowing just 104.5 points per game (4th). But despite their strong overall numbers, they have been vulnerable on the glass, sitting just 26th in defensive rebounds per game. Yet, the Heat have been excellent at forcing turnovers, averaging 12.8 per game, placing them 8th in the NBA. For the season, they have allowed teams to hit 33.9% of their three-point shots and 43.5% of their overall shots from the field.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Celtics vs. Heat
The Heat currently have the leg up in this year's season series against the Celtics. Across six games, the Heat have a record of 4-2. The previous time these two teams faced off resulted in both a straight up and ATS win for the Heat. Going into the game, Miami was the 10.0 point underdog. The over/under line for this matchup was set at 215.0 points.
In the Celtics' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 against the spread. In their last three road contests, they are 2-1 ATS and 2-1 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 7-3 with an average of 223 points per contest.
Across Miami's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 4-1 while going 3-2 straight-up. As the underdog, the Heat are 2-1 straight up on an average scoring differential of 1 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 2-1. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 224 points per game and an over/under mark of 7-3.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: BOS -3.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 213.5
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