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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Atlanta Braves vs. Cleveland Guardians, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday, July 4th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Braves vs. Guardians
The Braves take on the Guardians on Tuesday, July 4th 2023 at Progressive Field, Cleveland. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves (57-27) vs. Cleveland Guardians (41-43)
- Date: Tuesday, July 4th 2023
- Time: 7:10 ET
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Braves vs. Guardians
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Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 57-27, the Atlanta Braves will host Atlanta, currently ranked 1st in the NL East. In their 39 games as the road team, Atlanta has put together a record of 27-12.
Having been favored in 86.9% of their games, Atlanta has an above .500 record against the runline at 44-40. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 46-34.
Through one appearance, starting pitcher Kolby Allard has yet to factor into a decision. So far, Allard has yet to give up an earned run. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .158. When looking at how opposing batters are faring in the power department, Kolby Allard has a WOBA allowed of .188 and has yet to be tagged for a home run. With a total of one walk, Allard has a WHIP of .86.
Entering today's action, Atlanta features the 3rd-ranked scoring unit, averaging 5.6 runs per game. The Braves have enjoyed success at the plate, as their team batting average of .271 ranks 2nd. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above average rate, with 161 home runs (1st). To date, Atlanta has the MLB's 2nd best OBP at .340.
Cleveland Guardians - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Atlanta, the Guardians have a record of just 41-43. This places the team 2nd in the AL Central. The Guardians hope to avoid dropping below .500 at home, as they are currently 20-20 at Progressive Field.
Despite having the advantage of being favored in 47 of their 84 games, Cleveland's record vs. the runline is just 40-44. The team's over/under record comes in at 35-47 with an average betting line of 8.
For Cleveland, Shane Bieber will look to pick up a win over Atlanta, as he has a record of 5-5. Through 17 outings, Shane Bieber has an ERA sitting at 3.48. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .237 against him. Shane Bieber has given up 12 home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .287. Bieber has a WHIP of 1.19, with 28 walks allowed.
This season, runs have been hard to come by for Cleveland, as they are the 25th-ranked scoring team, averaging 4.0 runs per game. Although, through 84 games, the Guardians have a team batting average of .248, ranking 11th. So far, the team is the 23rd-rated home run hitting team, with a total of 55 long balls. Cleveland's OBP of .312 places them 16th in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Braves vs. Guardians
Heading into today's matchup between Atlanta and Cleveland, the Braves are the betting favorite at -124 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 55.36%. Led by a strong offensive performance, the MLB predictive model recommends taking the Braves on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Braves Moneyline -124
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