X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

Fantasy Basketball Draft Day Disappointments

It is your turn to pick and your mouth salivates at the thought of getting that player that you just know is going to break out. That player everyone else is sleeping on, but you know deep in your gut this player will exceed all expectations and show everyone else what a fantasy basketball guru you really are. Some people in your draft may scratch their heads at what they consider you reaching, but you know you'll have all the validation in the world when you're hoisting your league championship proudly above your head.

Despite all of your scouting and research however, the impossible has happened...your "stud" is looking more like a bust. The buyer's remorse starts settling in and you start thinking of all the amazing players you passed on your quest to acquire your sleeper. Players you did not look twice at are producing at levels that make you envious. Suddenly what once seemed like a steal, now feels like a gigantic burden.

This scenario is one that is all too familiar to anyone that plays fantasy sports. As the imperfect humans that we all are, we all buy into hype, or perhaps find a little too much pleasure in being the one to discover "a hidden gem". While finding sleepers will always be one of the most gratifying aspects of crafting your team, finding out your pick was more Anthony Randolph than Rudy Gobert will cause you to lose sleep at night. In this article I want to discuss some of the players that I personally identified as draft day studs, but so far have looked a lot more like busts.

Upgrade To VIP: Win more with our NBA and DFS Premium Pass, get expert tools and advice from proven winners! Will Priester (@ChiefJustice06) from RotoGrinders leads the RotoBaller team in 2024-25 with his exclusive DFS picks, Prop picks and more. Gain VIP access to our Lineup Optimizer, Research Station, DFS Cheat Sheets and VIP Chat Rooms. Go Premium, Win More!

 

Draft Day Disappointments

Jamal Murray, PG/SG, Denver Nuggets

Jamal was easily one of the most overhyped players I witnessed the entire off-season in fantasy basketball circles, including by yours truly. Jamal Murray who for his young age is an incredibly skilled players was getting comparisons to fantasy studs such as C.J McCollum and Bradley Beal. Ambitious owners identified him as the clear cut favorite for the starting point guard on a Nuggets team already sporting other fantasy beasts such as Gary Harris, Paul Millsap and Nicola Jokic. His potential to score, hit 3s at a high rate, while boosting your percentages and assists was simply too alluring.

While on paper his raw stats of 13.4 points per game, three rebounds per game and 2.3 assists per game are not terrible, they are not nearly enough to offset his complete lack of peripheral stats. His .7 steals and .2 blocks are not the only ugly side to his fantasy game however, as this overhyped baller is only shooting 42% from the field and a stinky 1.1 three pointers made per game at 25.3% shooting (much maligned Lonzo Ball is shooting 25.7 percent from three at 1.3 per game). This abysmal production was definitely not what his owners were expecting when they burned a mid-round pick on him.

Josh Richardson, PG/SG/SF, Miami Heat

Josh Richardson serves as living proof that old habits do indeed die hard. Josh Richardson's hype in fantasy basketball circles has been ongoing for much of the last two seasons. After showing the potential to be an elite 3 and D player as a rookie for the Heat, many people bet on Josh Richardson providing value similar to fantasy studs such as Patrick Beverley and Trevor Ariza. After starting the 2016-2017 season at a snail's pace, Josh proceeded to average 15 points, 3 rebounds, 3 assists, 1.5 blocks, 2.3 steals, 2.8 3 pointers on a red-hot 53% from that range in six April games. That small 6 game sample-size was enough to make everyone forget the mostly abysmal production he displayed the rest of the season.

Josh Richardson proceeded to validate those owners who reached for him by looking like a stocks (steals and blocks) monster in the preseason. That is right around where the fun ended, however, as he proceeded to tank the field goal percentage of anyone who gave him a chance. With meager averages of 9.6 points on 39% field goal, three rebounds, two assists, and 2.2 turnovers with 1.4 threes at a abhorrent 28% from that range in 32 minutes per game, those who haven't cut bait have heavily considered it. While his 1.3 steals and .7 blocks per game are fairly decent for a guard, it's a far-cry from the production those who drafted him were banking on. While he has looked a lot more productive over the last week, it's too early to tell if it's another mirage from a very inconsistent player.

Nerlens Noel, PF/C, Dallas Mavericks

After an off-season full of rumors claiming that Nerlens Noel turned down a near maximum contract extension with the Dallas Mavericks and instead took his qualifying offer, many owners used a mid-round pick to acquire his services. I personally drafted Noel in over half of my leagues, with visions of his elite blocks and steals potential while helping to anchor my field goal percentage. Noel burst out of the gate with 16 points, 11 rebounds, three blocks and a steal on a spotless six for six from the field, making all of those who drafted him look like geniuses.

Things soured very quickly, though, as his minutes continued to drop from the low 20s, to the mid-teens, to suddenly not even playing at all. The player many reached for to be a game-changer, was suddenly losing his minutes to players such as Salah Mejri and Dwight Powell. With constant news coming out of Dallas that the Mavericks are not at all thrilled with his work ethic, I dropped Nerlens Noel in leagues deep as 20 teams. While the potential still exists for a break-out from Noel, it looks like he has gotten himself an extended lease in Rick Carlisle's dog house.

Russell Westbrook, PG, Oklahoma City Thunder

Some of you may be asking how Mr. Triple Doubles finds himself on my list. On paper his popcorn stats are still as savory as ever, with 22 points per game, 9.1 rebounds and 9.7 assists per game. Everything has to be kept in context however, and so far Mr. Westbrook is not performing at the level in which he was drafted, with many people picking him within the top 5 picks. With Paul George and Carmelo Anthony joining the fray, and decent role players such as Patrick Patterson coming onboard to shore up the Thunder's shooting, many expected Westbrook to replace some of his volume scoring, with higher efficiency. Instead of producing at the top 5 level in which he was drafted, Westbrook is currently ranked in the 40s on Yahoo mostly due to his 40% field goal percentage on 19 shots per game, and a pedestrian 72% from the free-throw line. While this lack of elite production may be seen as simply early seasons struggles, I don't think anyone expected this type of drop-off after an MVP clinching campaign.

Gorgui Dieng, PF/C, Minnesota Timberwolves

While Dieng may not be a house hold name, for the past two seasons he was considered an elite fantasy producer among competitive fantasy basketball owners. As a big man who could contribute in every category while not hurting you in any category, many owners brushed off the Timberwolves signing Taj Gibson and used a mid-round pick to have him on their team. It did not take very long however for owners to realize that Taj Gibson was a more disruptive force than he was given credit for. Dieng is only averaging 16.7 minutes per game, which is the lowest minutes he has received since his rookie year. While his per 36 numbers are in line with his career production, his blocks took a very steep drop from 1.3 blocks per 36, to an almost non-existent .2 per game. A big man that was once known for shooting above 80% from the free-throw line, is now shooting a much less impressive 74% on freebies. While there is still hope of a resurgence, many owners might consider a turn-around as too little, too late.

 

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis

 

NBA DFS Premium Subscription

Get a free trial of our powerful NBA Premium Tools. Our famous DFS Cheat Sheets, and NBA Lineup Optimizer & Generator with daily matchup projections.

Win more. Try the most advanced lineup optimizer in daily fantasy basketball.

Sign Up Now!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Alperen Sengün3 hours ago

Alperen Sengun Questionable Versus Memphis
Walker Kessler4 hours ago

Could Miss Thursday's Game
John Collins4 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable For Thursday
Jordan Clarkson4 hours ago

To Play On Thursday
Lauri Markkanen4 hours ago

Ready To Return On Thursday
Stephen Curry5 hours ago

Cleared To Play On Wednesday
Kevin Durant5 hours ago

Available On Wednesday
Isaiah Stewart5 hours ago

Ejected On Wednesday
Ja'Marr Chase5 hours ago

Extension A Priority For Bengals This Offseason
Ryan Dunn5 hours ago

Upgraded To Available Wednesday
Rob Dillingham5 hours ago

Active Against Suns
Matthew Stafford5 hours ago

Plans To Play In 2025
Naz Reid5 hours ago

Out On Wednesday
Naji Marshall5 hours ago

Returns Against Pelicans With 15-Minute Limit
Doug McDermott6 hours ago

Sidelined With An Illness
Dallas Goedert6 hours ago

Sits Out With Ankle Injury
Josh Hart6 hours ago

Will Play Wednesday
DeVonta Smith6 hours ago

Dealing With Hamstring Injury
Jordan Hawkins6 hours ago

Out With An Illness Wednesday
Carlos Estévez6 hours ago

Carlos Estevez Signing With Kansas City
Jaime Jaquez Jr.6 hours ago

Cleared To Play Wednesday
Dejounte Murray6 hours ago

Good To Go Wednesday
Al Horford6 hours ago

Ruled Out For Wednesday Against Bulls
Kelly Olynyk6 hours ago

Downgraded To Out Wednesday
Gradey Dick6 hours ago

Ruled Out For Wednesday
Sam Hauser6 hours ago

Unavailable Versus Bulls
Dakota Joshua7 hours ago

Rejoins Canucks Lineup Wednesday
Dylan Guenther7 hours ago

Upgraded To Day-To-Day
Kevin Bahl7 hours ago

Week-To-Week
Kaiden Guhle7 hours ago

Out Indefinitely Following Surgery
Sean Couturier8 hours ago

Expected Back On Wednesday
Max Pacioretty8 hours ago

Returns From Three-Game Absence
Drew Doughty8 hours ago

Set For Season Debut Wednesday
Max Scherzer8 hours ago

Blue Jays The Favorites To Land Max Scherzer
Ha-Seong Kim10 hours ago

Agrees With Rays, Expected To Return In May
Ryan Pressly11 hours ago

To Compete For Ninth-Inning Role In Chicago
Kevin Fiala11 hours ago

A Game-Time Call On Wednesday
Patrick Kane11 hours ago

Not Expected To Play On Thursday
Valeri Nichushkin12 hours ago

Expected To Remain Sidelined Through International Break
Matthew Knies12 hours ago

Targeting Saturday Return
Nico Hischier12 hours ago

Labeled As Week-To-Week With Injury
Linus Ullmark12 hours ago

Nearing Return
Michael King17 hours ago

Cubs Have Shown Interest In Michael King
Logan Thompson17 hours ago

Stands Tall On Tuesday
Andrei Svechnikov17 hours ago

Tallies Three Points In Victory
Kyle Connor18 hours ago

Scores Twice On Tuesday
JJ Peterka18 hours ago

Scores Hat Trick In Victory Over Boston
Tage Thompson18 hours ago

Tallies Hat Trick In Victory
Miro Heiskanen18 hours ago

Exits Early On Tuesday
Andrew Novak23 hours ago

A Value Play At Pebble Beach
Stephan Jaeger23 hours ago

A Risky Option At Pebble Beach
Adam Scott23 hours ago

A Boom-Or-Bust Play At Pebble Beach
Sahith Theegala24 hours ago

Looking For Bounce-Back At Pebble Beach
Russell Henley24 hours ago

In Great Form Heading Into Pebble Beach
Tony Finau1 day ago

Struggles Continue Ahead Of Pebble Beach
Will Zalatoris1 day ago

Back In Action At Pebble Beach
Jason Day1 day ago

A Course Horse At Pebble Beach
Sam Burns1 day ago

In Great Form Ahead Of Pebble Beach
Hideki Matsuyama1 day ago

Looks To Stay Hot At Pebble Beach
NFL1 day ago

Mike McCarthy Won't Coach In The NFL In 2025
New Orleans Saints1 day ago

Kellen Moore In "Strong Position" To Become Saints Head Coach
Marcelo Mayer1 day ago

Roman Anthony, Kristian Campbell, Marcelo Mayer Invited To Spring Training
Jazz Chisholm Jr.1 day ago

Expected To Play Second Base In 2025
Justin Thomas1 day ago

Eyeing Victory At Pebble Beach
Frederik Andersen1 day ago

Looks To Keep Win Streak Alive Versus Rangers
Sam Montembeault1 day ago

Starts For Canadiens Tuesday
Detroit Lions1 day ago

Lions Hire John Morton As New Offensive Coordinator
Washington Commanders1 day ago

Kliff Kingsbury To Stay With Commanders
Cleveland Browns1 day ago

Browns Not Interested In Trading Myles Garrett
Collin Morikawa2 days ago

A Reliable Pick At AT&T Pro-Am
Scottie Scheffler2 days ago

Making Season Debut At Pebble Beach
Davis Thompson2 days ago

Treading Water Heading Into Pebble Beach
Nick Taylor2 days ago

Trending Way Up For Pebble Beach
Justin Rose2 days ago

Cannot Be Counted Out At Pebble Beach
Taylor Moore2 days ago

Attempts To Put Torrey Pines Behind Him
Shane Lowry2 days ago

Tries To Rebound After Torrey Pines
PGA2 days ago

Sungjae Im Can Contend Again At Pebble Beach
Ben Griffin2 days ago

A Bit Of An Unknown For Pebble Beach
Josiah Gray2 days ago

Begins Throwing Program, Targeting Late-Season Return
Matt Fitzpatrick2 days ago

An Intriguing Option For Pebble Beach
Russell Wilson2 days ago

Steelers Unlikely To Re-Sign Both Russell Wilson, Justin Fields
Josh Allen2 days ago

Picks Up Wrist Injury In AFC Championship Loss
A.J. Brown3 days ago

Finds The End Zone In Strong Outing
Saquon Barkley3 days ago

Posts Three-Touchdown Performance
Jalen Hurts3 days ago

Leads Explosive Offense To Super Bowl Berth
Ben Joyce3 days ago

Expected To Open Season In Closer Role
James Cook3 days ago

Scores Two Touchdowns In Loss To Chiefs
Xavier Worthy3 days ago

Leads Receivers In AFC Championship Win
Chicago Bears3 days ago

Bears Hire Dennis Allen, Declan Doyle For Coordinator Roles
Jose Altuve3 days ago

Willing To Move To Outfield
Ryan Pressly3 days ago

Traded To Cubs After Waiving No-Trade Clause
Seattle Seahawks3 days ago

Seahawks Hiring Klint Kubiak As Offensive Coordinator
Zach Ertz3 days ago

Eclipses 100 Yards In NFC Title Game
Tennesse Titans3 days ago

Titans Hire Dave Ziegler As Assistant GM
Dallas Cowboys3 days ago

Mike Zimmer Likely Retiring From NFL
Carlos Correa4 days ago

Fully Healthy Entering Spring Training
Cristian Javier4 days ago

Targeting Return After All-Star Break
Alex Bregman4 days ago

A "Long Shot" To Return To Houston
Brandon Nimmo4 days ago

Still Dealing With Plantar Fasciitis
Lance McCullers Jr.4 days ago

Luis Garcia, Lance McCullers Jr. Will Not Be Ready For Opening Day
Noah Schultz5 days ago

Invited To Spring Training
Max Scherzer5 days ago

Mets Have Interest In Reunion With Max Scherzer
Pete Alonso5 days ago

Meets With The Angels
Drew Thorpe5 days ago

Likely To Miss Start Of Spring Training
Ronald Acuña Jr.5 days ago

Ronald Acuna Jr. Expected To Miss First Month Of The Season

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Will Howard - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks

Five Fantasy Football Sleepers To Target In Dynasty Rookie Drafts

With just one football game left in the season, fans of 30 of the 32 teams in the NFL have already turned their attention to the 2025 NFL Draft. Dynasty fantasy football sickos have already been focused on the draft since midseason, but it is just about time for everyone else to start paying attention. […]


Justin Jefferson - Fantasy Football rankings, NFL DFS, Injury News

Very Early 2025 Fantasy Football Rankings with Rookies and Tiers - Top 230 for Redraft Leagues

The 2024 NFL regular season just ended, but that doesn’t mean fantasy football has to. At least not totally. If you play in a dynasty or keeper league, or maybe you’re just consumed by fantasy football and cannot get enough, these 2025 fantasy football rankings should get you thinking about next season. Anytime you’re doing […]


Tyreek Hill - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Who is the Best NFL Wide Receiver Since 1990?

With the increased popularity of receivers in fantasy football and the advancement of data and film study (colossal shout-out to Reception Perception), the average football fan or fantasy football manager has more data and information at their fingertips than ever. That increased knowledge leads to more intense debates. Who is the best receiver? We could […]


Tyler Warren - College Football Rankings - NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks - NFL Draft

Early 2025 NFL Draft Rankings – Top 5 Tight End Prospects

The 2024 NFL Draft class had arguably the best tight end prospect in decades, if not ever. While Brock Bowers was a superstar as a rookie, the rest of the tight end class failed to make an impact. However, there is still hope for the rest of the class. Thankfully, the 2025 NFL Draft class […]


Marvin Harrison Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, WR, Waiver Wire, NFL DFS, Rookies

Should I Buy or Sell Marvin Harrison Jr. in Dynasty Fantasy Football Leagues?

When the Arizona Cardinals drafted wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. with the fourth overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, all fantasy managers believed Harrison was going to put up elite numbers right away. He was tabbed as a generational prospect and landed in one of the best situations. However, Harrison had his ups and […]


Video: Bold First-Round Predictions for 2025 - Way-Too-Early Fantasy Football Draft Preview

With the matchup for the Super Bowl set and the biggest game of the year just over a week away, it's a fun time to start putting together thoughts on 2025 fantasy football drafts! RotoBaller's LaQuan Jones breaks down his thoughts on 2025 in this Way-Too-Early Draft Preview. What are his bold predictions for the […]


Brian Thomas Jr - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Top Buys For Dynasty Fantasy Football – Offseason Trade Targets

The 2025 fantasy football season is still months away for redraft players. However, the game never stops for dynasty fantasy players, as the offseason is anything but slow. Now is the perfect time for fantasy players to explore the trade block and make deals ahead of free agency and dynasty rookie drafts. Everyone loves acquiring […]


Kenneth Gainwell - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Fantasy Football Injury Reports: Super Bowl LIX Updates for Jalen Hurts, Rashee Rice, Kenneth Gainwell, Mecole Hardman

It feels like yesterday when we watched Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs start their quest for a three-peat with a close win against the Baltimore Ravens on opening night. But now, the season is almost over, and just one game remains. The Chiefs beat Josh Allen and the Bills once again, and will […]


Jeremiah Smith - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks

Fantasy Football Dynasty Watch: Top College Fantasy Football Players 2024 Bowl Games

The biggest stars usually shine brightest on the biggest stages. That used to be bowl games. Some of the college stars still strutted their stuff in the postseason, but many opted out to avoid injury. That opened the door for some others who weren't noticed during the regular season because they were backups. We will […]


Tom Brady - NFL QB Passing Leaders, Fantasy Football All Time Greats

Every NFL Team's Greatest Quarterback Of All Time (2025 Update)

The world of sports is centered around the NFL, with the quarterback position being the most important in the game. Some teams have had multiple Hall of Fame passers in their franchise history, with a few having only 2-3 starting quarterbacks in 50 years. So, let’s look at the top quarterback in franchise history for […]


Titans Defense D/ST Streamers, Rankings, Waiver Wire - Harold Landry Fantasy Football IDP

Updated 2025 NFL Draft Order: First-Round Picks For Every Team Ahead of Super Bowl LIX

Only the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs remain in the fight for the Lombardi Trophy. That means the 30 other NFL franchises are looking ahead to the 2025 NFL Draft. Luckily, all 30 of those teams know where they will be picking in the upcoming draft. The 18 teams that did not make the […]


Saquon Barkley - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Fantasy Football Sunday Injury Report: Updates for Saquon Barkley, Kenneth Gainwell

Just like that, our Super Bowl LIX match is set. The Kansas City Chiefs will take on the Philadelphia Eagles in a Super Bowl LVII rematch. With only two games this weekend, the injury report is very light. Still, there were a few players who got dinged up. Let’s catch you up on who went […]


Kaleb Johnson - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks - NFL Draft

Early 2025 NFL Draft Rankings – Top 10 Running Back Prospects

The 2024 NFL Draft class had a lackluster running back unit. Jonathon Brooks was the only running back taken in the first two rounds despite coming off a torn ACL he suffered at Texas. Furthermore, only four running backs were drafted in the first 100 picks. However, the 2025 NFL Draft class is loaded with […]