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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Wednesday, June 28th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Cubs
The Phillies take on the Cubs on Wednesday, June 28th 2023 at Wrigley Field, Chicago. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (41-37) vs. Chicago Cubs (37-40)
- Date: Wednesday, June 28th 2023
- Time: 8:05 ET
- Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Cubs
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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Philadelphia Phillies host the Chicago Cubs, they have a record of 41-37, placing them 3rd in the NL East. The Phillies will need a win in today's game to move their record on the road (20-23) above the .500 mark.
Philadelphia's record against the runline stands at 32-46, even though they have been favored in 48 of their 78 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 30-42 with an average betting line of 9.
Taking the mound for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola. Heading into play, he has a mark of 6-5. Heading into action, Aaron Nola has an ERA of 4.38. Currently, opponents are batting just .218 against the right-hander. So far, Nola has given up 15 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .287. Nola has a WHIP of 1.07, with 26 walks allowed.
Philadelphia's offense comes into this game averaging 4.4 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. Heading into play, the Phillies are the 9th unit in team batting average, currently hitting .257. So far, the team is the 18th-rated home run hitting team, with a total of 82 long balls. Philadelphia's strong OBP of .323 is 11th best in the league.
Chicago Cubs - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Philadelphia, the Cubs have a record of just 37-40. This places the team 3rd in the NL Central. On the season, the Cubs have an above .500 home record, going 20-18 at Wrigley Field.
Chicago currently has an above .500 record against the runline (42-35). So far, they have been favored in 39 of their 77 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 36-38 with an average betting line of 8.
Making the start for Chicago is Drew Smyly, with a record of 7-4. So far, Drew Smyly has put together an ERA of 3.38 across his 15 outings. Opponents have had a tough time against the left-hander, as they are batting just .234 against him. So far, Smyly has given up 11 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .301. Smyly's WHIP of 1.22 comes along with a total of 26 walks allowed.
Offensively, Chicago is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.6 runs per game. The Cubs' combined batting average currently sits at .247, placing them 14th in the league. Overall, the team has hit 85 home runs, placing them 16th. Chicago's offense has done a good job getting on base, ranking 8th with an OBP of .327.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Cubs
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and Chicago, the Phillies are the betting favorite at -123 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 55.16%. The MLB predictive model shows Philadelphia pulling out a close win over the Cubs. It is recommended to take the Phillies Moneyline -123 on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Moneyline -123
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