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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, October 2nd, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Chiefs @ Buccaneers
The Chiefs take on the Buccaneers on Sunday, October 2nd at Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs (2-1) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1)
- Date: Sunday, October 2nd, 2022
- Time: 8:20 PM ET
- Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Chiefs @ Buccaneers
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Kansas City Chiefs - NFL Betting Analysis
In week 3, the Kansas City Chiefs dropped their AFC matchup against the Colts by a score of 20-17. With the loss, Kansas City failed to cover the spread, as they had a -4.5 advantage on the spread. The two teams combined point total of 37 remained below the betting line of 51. This was a difficult loss for Kansas City, as they held 4 point lead heading into the 4th quarter. Through 3 games, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 1-2. So far, they have an over-under record of 1-2. This week's betting total of 45.0 is lower than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Chiefs offense is averaging 29.33 points per game, placing them 4th in the NFL. Even though they have a tough matchup against the league's 1st ranked defense, look for Kansas City to continue their strong offensive play. This season, Kansas City has been one of the better passing teams in the league, averaging 281.0 yards per game through the air. Although, the Buccaneers defense have been able to limit opposing teams in the passing game, Kansas City should still be able to continue to generate big plays through the pass. On the ground, Kansas City figure to have their fair share of problems as they come into the game as the 22nd ranked team in rush yards per game. In addition, they are facing defense that has done a good job stopping the run.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into week 3, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are looking to bounce back from a loss to the Packers by a score of 14-12, giving them a loss against a NFC opponent. Going into the game, the oddsmakers had Buccaneers as the -1.5 favorite. The two teams combined point total of 26 remained below the betting line of 42. In the game, Tampa Bay trailed the Packers by a score of 14-6 heading into the 4th quarter. Through 3 games, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 1-2. So far, they have an over-under record of 1-2. This week's betting total of 45.0 is lower than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Buccaneers' offense is averaging 17.0 points per game, placing them 23rd in the NFL. Although the Buccaneers come into the game ranked just 22nd in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing a Kansas City secondary that is vulnerable through the air. We expect Tampa Bay to have an above average performance in the passing attack. Even though the Buccaneers have had their problems running the ball this year, averaging 86.0 yards per game on the ground, our projections show they could be in line for an above-average game vs Kansas City.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Chiefs vs. Buccaneers
Over the last 3 matchups between Kansas City and Tampa Bay, the Buccaneers have won 2 of the last 3 games. The two teams have combined to average 42.34 points per game in their last 3 meetings. Kansas City and Tampa Bay did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 3-0. The Chiefs offense has averaged 17.67 points per game over the 3 most recent meetings with Tampa Bay, compared to the Buccaneers at 24.67.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Chiefs have gone 2-1 straight up. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 1-2 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
When looking at their past 3 road matchups, Kansas City has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 29.67 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
Tampa Bay has put together a record of 2-1 over their past 3 games. This also includes going 2-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 0-3
Through their last 3 home games, Tampa Bay has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 23.33 points per game.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Buccaneers 2.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 45.0
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