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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the San Francisco 49ers vs. Denver Broncos, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 25th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - 49ers @ Broncos
The 49ers take on the Broncos on Sunday, September 25th at Empower Field at Mile High, Denver. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: San Francisco 49ers (1-1) vs. Denver Broncos (1-1)
- Date: Sunday, September 25th, 2022
- Time: 8:20 PM ET
- Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - 49ers @ Broncos
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San Francisco 49ers - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the 49ers will look to keep things rolling, after picking up a 27-7 win over their division rival, the Seattle Seahawks. Not only did San Francisco walk away with the win, but they also covered the spread as -8.5 point favorites. The two teams combined point total of 34 remained below the betting line of 39. On their way to picking up a 20 point win, San Francisco held a 13 point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 20-7.
On offense, the 49ers came away with a slightly better performance than last year's season average of 25.12 points per game. For the game, San Francisco ran the ball 45 times, compiling 189 rushing yards. Jeff Wilson Jr. led the team with 84 rush yards and did not find the endzone.
On his way to compiling 154 passing yards, Jimmy Garoppolo finished with a passer rating of 100.1. In addition to throwing for a touchdown, Garoppolo ran for an additional score. Brandon Aiyuk was the team's leader in the passing game, finishing with 63 yards and 5 catches. San Francisco is the ranked team in pass yards per game, averaging 169.5 overall. Heading into the game, the 49ers have just 1 offensive interception, good for a rank of 7th in the league.
As a defensive unit, the 49ers currently rank 1st in overall yards allowed. So far, the team's defense have allowed 2 scores through the air and 1 on the ground. The 49ers will look to continue to perform well on 3rd downs, as they are allowing opponents to convert at a rate of just 33.3%.
Denver Broncos - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Broncos will look to keep things rolling, after picking up a 16-9 over their division rival, the Houston Texans. Despite the straight up win, Broncos did not cover the spread. They went into the matchup as -10.0 point favorites. With an over-under betting line of 25, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 25. Denver pulled out a comeback victory over the Texans, as they entered the 4th quarter trailing by a score of 9-6. Despite the win, Denver was not able to cover the spread.
Compared to last year, where the Broncos averaged 19.71 points per game, the team's 16 was a disappointing performance. Throughout the game, Denver relied on the ground attack, finishing with 149 on 31 carries. Javonte Williams led the team with 75 rush yards and did not find the endzone.
In the game, Russell Wilson completed 45% of his passes, leading to a total of 219 passing yards. Wilson was able to find the endzone 1 time through the air. Courtland Sutton had a big game in the passing attack, finishing with 122 yards on 7 catches. Denver is the 15th ranked team in passing attempts per game, with an average of 36.5. So far, 67.82% of their yards have come through the air, on a completion percentage of 57.1% (26th).
Currently, the Broncos' defense is ranked just 3rd in overall yards allowed. Denver has yet to surrender a touchdown on the ground. Through the air, they have allowed 2 scores. The Broncos will look to continue to perform well on 3rd downs, as they are allowing opponents to convert at a rate of just 33.3%.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - 49ers vs. Broncos
When looking back at the recent matchups between San Francisco and Denver, the 49ers have won 2 of the last 3 games. The over-under record in these games sits at 1-2, with the average scoring total coming in at 44.33 points. Last year, the 49ers and Broncos did not play each other.
The San Francisco 49ers have gone 2-1 vs the spread in these games. The 49ers' offense has averaged 20.33 points per game over the 3 most recent meetings with Denver, compared to the Broncos at 24.0.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the 49ers have gone 1-2 straight up. In addition, the team has not done well vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 0-3.
Through their last 3 road games, San Francisco has an ATS record of just 2-1. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 13.33 points per game.
Across their previous 3 regular season games, the Broncos have a straight up record of just 1-2. In a similar fashion, the team's record vs the spread in these games was just 1-2. Their over-under record in this span was 1-2.
Although Denver has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last 3 home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 16.67 points per game in these games.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Broncos 1.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 45.0
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