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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Friday August 26th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Cubs vs. Brewers
The Cubs take on the Brewers on Friday August 26th at American Family Field, Milwaukee. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Chicago Cubs (54-71) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (65-58)
- Date: Friday August 26th, 2022
- Time: 8:10 ET
- Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Cubs vs. Brewers
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Chicago Cubs - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Chicago Cubs come into this road contest vs Milwaukee, with a below .500 record (54-71). In the NL Central division standings, the team ranks 3rd. The Cubs hope to avoid dropping further below .500 when playing on the road, as they are currently 25-33. The team will look to tack on another victory as they defeated St. Louis by a score of 8-3. Currently, Chicago has a below .500 record in their 40 series, coming in at 17-17-6.
Justin Steele gets the start for the Cubs with a below .500 record at 4-7. Coming into the game, Steele has put together an ERA of 3.25 across his 23 outings. Justin Steele has had problems limiting base runners, made evident by a WHIP of 1.35. In today's game, he will look to do a better job limiting base runners, as his batting average allowed sits at .245. Across his previous outings, Steele has a SLG% allowed of .335. In total, he has given up 7 home runs. Overall, he has notched 120 strikeouts on a strikeout percentage of 24.0%.
Chicago's offense enters play with the 22nd ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.15 runs per game. So far, the team ranks 12th in runs scored through 4 innings. Through 125 games, the Cubs have the 16th ranked batting average at .241. Per game, the team is averaging 8.15 hits. The team's lineup is hitting home runs at a rate of 1.02 per game, good for 16th in the league. So far, their hard hit rate of 37.1% is near the MLB average. Up to this point, Chicago has been getting on base at a rate of .313, placing them 18th in all of baseball, while their current wOBA of 0.310 is similar to the league average.
Milwaukee Brewers - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Milwaukee Brewers host the Chicago Cubs, they have a record of 65-58, placing them 2nd in the NL Central division. Through 55 home contests, the Brewers come in with a mark of 31-24 at American Family Field. In their previous games, Milwaukee lost by a score of 12-6 to the Dodgers. So far, the team has won 17 out of their first 40 series, 17-16-7.
Making the start for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, with a record of 4-3 and ERA of 4.08. On average, Peralta is allowing 1.17 base runners per inning (WHIP). Currently, opponents are batting just 0.210 against the right-hander. So far, Freddy Peralta has a SLG% allowed .332, including giving up 4 home runs. Overall, Peralta has notched 65 strikeouts on a K rate of 27.0%.
Offensively, Milwaukee has had no problem putting up runs, as their scoring average of 4.51 runs per game, ranks 11th in the MLB. The team's total run differential sits at 23. Together, the Brewers offense has the 23rd ranked batting average, at .233. For the season, 38.2% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. On average the team is hitting 1.39 home runs per game (3rd), making up for their struggles in the batting average department. Milwaukee's offense currently ranks 15th in OBP, coming in at .315. So far, the team has a walk rate of 9.4%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Cubs vs. Brewers
Heading into today's matchup between Chicago and Milwaukee, the Brewers are the heavy favorite at -158 on the moneyline. Milwaukee's implied win probability sits at 61.24%. Even with the odds strongly in favor of Milwaukee, the MLB predictive model shows the best bet for this contest being the Cubs on the runline (+1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Cubs +1.5 Runline
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