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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Minnesota Twins vs. Atlanta Braves, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Monday, June 26th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Twins vs. Braves
The Twins take on the Braves on Monday, June 26th 2023 at Truist Park, Atlanta. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Minnesota Twins (40-39) vs. Atlanta Braves (50-27)
- Date: Monday, June 26th 2023
- Time: 7:20 ET
- Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Twins vs. Braves
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Minnesota Twins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Minnesota Twins enter play ranked 1st in the AL Central with an overall record of 40-39. Minnesota will be looking to move their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 17-20 away from home.
Minnesota has been favored in 64.6% of their games, resulting in an above .500 record against the runline at 40-39. The team has an over/under record of 34-40, with an average betting line of 8.
Minnesota pitcher Sonny Gray gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 4-1. Runs have been hard to come by against Sonny Gray, as he has an ERA of just 2.56. Currently, opponents are batting just .234 against the right-hander. Opposing hitters have gone deep two times against Sonny Gray, who has a WOBA allowed of .284. Gray has a WHIP of 1.30, with 32 walks allowed.
Minnesota's offense comes into this game averaging 4.3 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. The Twins' combined batting average currently sits at .232, placing them 20th in the league. In total, the team has hit 103 home runs (7th), making up for their mediocre batting average. Minnesota's overall OBP of .310 puts them 19th in the league.
Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 50-27, the Minnesota Twins will host the Minnesota Twins, currently ranked 1st in the NL East. In their 39 at Truist Park, Atlanta has put together a record of 24-15.
Despite having the advantage of being favored in 66 of their 77 games, Atlanta's record vs. the runline is just 37-40. The team's over/under record comes in at 44-29 with an average betting line of 9.
Taking the mound for Atlanta is Spencer Strider. Heading into play, he has a mark of 8-2. Through 15 outings, Spencer Strider has an ERA sitting at 3.93. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .205. So far, Strider has given up 12 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .285. With a total of 30 walks, Strider has a WHIP of 1.15.
On the season, Atlanta boasts the 3rd-ranked scoring offense, averaging 5.6 runs per game. As a team, the Braves are batting a healthy .271, placing them 2nd in the league. The team has also been strong in the power department, having hit 139 home runs which is 1st. Throughout the season, Atlanta's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 1st best OBP of .341.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Twins vs. Braves
Heading into today's matchup between Atlanta and the Twins, the Braves are the heavy favorite at -204 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 67.11%. Yet, our MLB model is projecting the Twins to put together a good performance at the plate, making them an excellent candidate to cover at +1.5 runs.
Recommended Betting Pick: Twins +1.5
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