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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday, May 27th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Braves
The Phillies take on the Braves on Saturday, May 27th 2023 at Truist Park, Atlanta. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (24-27) vs. Atlanta Braves (31-20)
- Date: Saturday, May 27th 2023
- Time: 4:10 ET
- Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Braves
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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Atlanta, the Phillies have a record of just 24-27. This places the team 4th in the NL East. Philadelphia will be looking to move their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 10-17 away from home.
Philadelphia's record against the runline stands at 21-30, even though they have been favored in 32 of their 51 games. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 23-25.
Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies with a below .500 record at 3-4. Heading into action, Zack Wheeler has an ERA of 4.11. The right-hander has a batting average allowed of .255. Opposing hitters have gone deep four times against Zack Wheeler, who has a WOBA allowed of .304. Wheeler has a WHIP of 1.23, with 14 walks allowed.
On offense, Philadelphia comes into the game averaging 4.3 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. Through 51 game, the Phillies have a team batting average of .258, ranking 10th. Overall, the team has hit 53 home runs, placing them 21st. Philadelphia's offense currently sits 16th in OBP, coming in at .322.
Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 31-20, the Philadelphia Phillies will host the Philadelphia Phillies, currently ranked 1st in the NL East. On the season, the Braves have an above .500 home record, going 14-13 at Truist Park.
Being the favorite in 42 of their 51 games has not helped Atlanta improve their record against the runline, which stands at just 22-29. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 30-19.
Starting for the Braves will be Charlie Morton, with an overall record of 5-4. Through nine outings, Charlie Morton has an ERA sitting at 3.61. The right-hander has a batting average allowed of .266. So far, Morton has given up six home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .332. Morton's WHIP of 1.41 comes along with a total of 20 walks allowed.
Entering today's action, Atlanta features the 6th-ranked scoring unit, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Heading into play, the Braves are the 10th-ranked unit in team batting average. Combined, the team is batting .258. The team has also been strong in the power department, having hit 85 home runs which is 2nd. Atlanta's strong OBP of .332 is 6th best in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Braves
Heading into today's matchup between Atlanta and Philadelphia, the Braves are the betting favorite at -136 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 57.63%. The MLB predictive model shows Atlanta picking up the win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an edge to take the Braves on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Braves -1.5
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