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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Houston Astros, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday, April 30th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Astros
The Phillies take on the Astros on Sunday, April 30th 2023 at Minute Maid Park, Houston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (15-13) vs. Houston Astros (14-13)
- Date: Sunday, April 30th 2023
- Time: 7:10 ET
- Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Astros
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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Philadelphia Phillies enter play ranked 3rd in the NL East with an overall record of 15-13. Philadelphia will be looking to move their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 7-8 away from home.
Philadelphia's record against the runline stands at 13-15, even though they have been favored in 16 of their 28 games. With an average betting line of 8 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 12-16.
Bailey Falter gets the start for the Phillies with a below .500 record at 0-4. Bailey Falter will take the mound with an ERA of 4.50. The left-hander has a batting average allowed of .259. Bailey Falter has given up five home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .307. With a total of four walks, Falter has a WHIP of 1.14.
Philadelphia's offense comes into this game averaging 4.4 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. As a team, the Phillies are batting a healthy .276, placing them 2nd in the league. So far, the team is the 16th-rated home run hitting team, with a total of 31 long balls. To date, Philadelphia has the MLB's 12th-rated OBP, sitting at .330.
Houston Astros - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Houston Astros host the Philadelphia Phillies, they have a record of 14-13, placing them 2nd in the AL West. Houston has yet to take advantage of playing at home, going just 6-9.
Having been favored in 63.0% of their games, Houston has an above .500 record against the runline at 15-12. The team's over/under record comes in at 15-11 with an average betting line of 8.
The Astros will send José Urquidy to the mound with an overall record of 1-2. With an ERA of 5.64, José Urquidy has had his struggles on the mound. His batting average allowed of .330 is high compared to other pitchers. So far, Urquidy has given up four home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .389. With a total of nine walks, Urquidy has a WHIP of 1.75.
Houston's offense enters play with the 13th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.6 runs per game. Together, the Astros' offense has the 17th-ranked batting average, at .244. Overall, the team has hit 26 home runs, placing them 21st. Houston's OBP of .318 places them 16th in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Astros
Heading into today's matchup between Houston and Philadelphia, the Astros are the betting favorite at -154 on the moneyline. Houston's implied win probability sits at 60.63%. The MLB predictive model shows Houston pulling out a close win over the Phillies. It is recommended to take the Astros Moneyline on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Astros Moneyline
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