Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL season is finally underway and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some PrizePicks for the Thursday Night Football game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Cincinnati Bengals.
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Fantasy Score and Single-Stat NFL Totals
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for point per reception, meaning every reception is worth one point. Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point. If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
Joe Mixon over 18.0 fantasy score - Mixon should be in line for a solid game Thursday night as the Bengals are currently favored by seven points and the Jaguars defense has struggled in 20201. Thus far, running backs have averaged 28 fantasy points per game against the Jags, which is ranked sixth-worst in the league. They have given up four rushing touchdowns and a receiving touchdown to running backs and have also allowed 15 receptions for 131 receiving yards to the position. Mixon has also averaged nearly 16 fantasy points per game against some tougher defenses in the Bears, Steelers, and Vikings.
James Robinson over 20.5 receiving yards - One area where the Bengals have struggled on defense is against running backs that catch the ball out of the backfield. In 2021, they have given up 192 receiving yards on a whopping 31 receptions. Robinson was heavily involved in the passing game as he hauled in all six of his targets for 46 yards. If the Jaguars get down in this game as expected, Robinson could again see an increased workload in the passing game against a vulnerable Bengals defense.
Marvin Jones over 62.5 receiving yards - Marvin Jones will be returning to Cincinnati where he was once a young and up-and-coming wide receiver. He has come on strong in Jacksonville as he has earned 28 targets through his first three games and has posted 194 receiving yards. The Jaguars are likely to be trailing in this game and that means Trevor Lawrence's favorite target should once again see solid volume. The Bengals' secondary have also allowed the 10th-most yards to wide receivers this season by giving up over 180 yards per game.
Other Recommendations: Marvin Jones over 5.0 receptions, Joe Mixon over 83.5 rushing yards, Joe Burrow under 249.5 passing yards
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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