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Taylor Rogers 2021 Player Outlook: Southpaw Closer Poised to Bounce Back
4 years agoDespite the nine saves, fantasy managers who drafted Taylor Rogers were left rather disappointed after 2020. The good news is the ERA was certainly inflated due to a career-high .400 BABIP and career-low 60.3 LOB%. His 2.84 FIP was actually one point lower than in 2019. He also continued to limit the free passes with a lowly 4.4 BB%. The small sample COVID-disrupted season produced a fluke Away-game split where he allowed seven of nine ER after posting a 1.25 ERA on the road in 2019. In fact, you can point to one single road trip where he surrendered four runs in just two games in early August which contributed to almost 50% of his earned runs on the season. Rogers recently agreed to a $6 million deal to avoid arbitration, while teammate Tyler Duffey signed a $2.2 million deal. With Trevor May now with the New York Mets, it appears the roles atop the Minnesota bullpen will remain the same at least to begin the 2021 season. We fully expect positive ratio-regression and numerous save opportunities to lead to a nice bounce-back campaign for the southpaw closer. His current NFBC ADP of 139 feels a tad high, but he could still return value with a secured job and solid ratios.
