Lance Lynn 2019 Outlook: Viable Deep League Back-End Starter
6 years agoLance Lynn’s 2018 got off to a slow start. The snail-paced free agency led to the right-hander not landing a contract until March 12 when he signed with the Twins. With just over two weeks of preparation until the start of the season with his new team, Lynn posted an ugly 8.37 ERA in April that he couldn’t shake for the remainder of the year. After a midseason trade to the Yankees, he wrapped up the season with ten wins, a 4.77 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 161 strikeouts over 156.2IP. Lynn’s season wasn’t all bad as he had his highest K/9 since his rookie season in 2011 and his FIP was almost a full run lower at 3.84. The former All-Star also had the highest GB/FB rate of his career (1.83), which would have ranked second best among qualified pitchers. He did struggle with command as his 4.37 BB/9 was a career worst, but he did bounce back with a 2.89 mark in the second half. Fresh off a new three-year deal with the Texas Rangers, Lynn should have a more comfortable start to 2019. He’ll provide close to a strikeout per inning with an ERA in the mid-to-high threes. If the ground-ball rate stays high and his walks stay around his pre-2018 career rate (3.40 BB/9), Lynn should produce a WHIP in the 1.20-1.30 range. Wins will be challenging to come by with the Rangers, but at an ADP of 420, he’s a steal at this cost for the back end of your rotation.