Mark Trumbo 2019 Player Outlook: A Cheap Power Source, If He Stays Healthy
6 years agoTrumbo’s 47 homer, .850 OPS 2016 season seems like a lifetime ago for Orioles’ fans and Trumbo believers. Since then he has hit 40 home runs and posted a .710 OPS in 961 PA while plagued by injury and underperformance over the last two seasons. A balky right knee gave him trouble throughout 2018 before knocking him out in September and sending him to the operation room. Trumbo will supposedly be ready for Opening Day, but it’s fair to ask whether he’s even capable of solid production when healthy.
His 2018 StatCast numbers were rather juicy, as Trumbo pulverized the ball for a career-high 48.6% hard-hit rate and 92.8 MPH average exit velocity. He was tied with Tommy Pham for ninth-highest average exit velocity (min. 150 batted ball events). Trumbo feasted on fastballs in 2018 as well, hitting .324 with a .607 SLG against heaters last year. Breaking balls were another story, as he hit just .197 with a 41.6% whiff rate against them. That is to be expected from an aging power hitter to some extent, but Trumbo’s performance against breaking balls was a large drop off even from his 2017 season. Yes he is fragile, he is streaky, and he just turned 33, but unlike the Orioles, fantasy owners won’t have to commit much capital to him. He is going at pick 431 in NFBC leagues as of writing this, and could be decent source of cheap power, provided he can stay on the field.