Zack Godley 2019 Outlook: One-Trick Pitcher Collapse Continues
6 years agoZack Godley wasn’t able to build on his 2017 breakout, giving up a league-leading 103 runs last year. The righty came out of nowhere two seasons ago, finishing with a 3.37 ERA and 1.14 WHIP over 155 innings. With the Diamondbacks installing a humidor last season, Chase Field should have become a more pitcher-friendly park, but it looks like Godley didn’t get the memo. He was lucky to finish with 15 wins and only a 4.74 ERA after posting a 1.49 WHIP over 178.1 innings. The strange thing is that his batted-ball data didn’t change much at all. The most glaring difference was the decrease in groundballs. Over half of his pitches were hit for groundballs in 2017 (55.3%), last year it was 48.8%. That led to his BABIP spiking from .280 to .324. Godley relies on his devastating curveball as his primary pitch, throwing it 40.3% of the time. He was able to lean on it in 2017 when it was basically unhittable (.156 BAA,) but last year batters caught on (.191 BAA). It’s still a very good pitch, but his two secondary pitches, the sinker, and cutter both get crushed (.302 and .349.) On top of that, Godley's win total will significantly decrease in 2019 due to the loss of elite bats and former Gold Glove Award winners, Paul Goldschmidt, and A.J. Pollock. He is appropriately ranked as the 57th SP with an ADP of 249 and will be a low-end SP3 at best in 2019.