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Last week, we were unable to crack the win column and finished 0-1-1. We should have gotten a win on the Titans -3, but they allowed a ridiculous touchdown on the last play of regulation to spoil a cover. So, we had to settle for a push. Meanwhile, Joe Flacco looked more like, well, Joe Flacco, and the Colts failed to cover the 5.5-point spread against the Vikings. As a result, we finished down 1.1 units for the week. Not the worst outcome, but we always strive for better.
We’ve got a couple of dogs that we’re backing this week. Hopefully, they can get us back in the win column and finish in the green.
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Arizona Cardinals (-1) vs. New York Jets
Both of these teams are coming off wins in Week 9. Arizona finds itself in first place in the NFC West while the Jets are three games under .500. Quite the contrast considering the preseason expectations for both teams.
New York finally found its footing in the second half of last week's victory over the Houston Texans. Arizona has played well, and head coach Jonathan Gannon has done a great job, but it is playing above its heads right now. The Jets found some momentum last week and also have the rest advantage in this game.
Arizona’s defense played well against the Bears last week, but it could have trouble guarding both Davante Adams and Garrett Wilson. As long as the Jets offensive line holds up, Aaron Rodgers should be able to find both of his top weapons and guide the team to a win.
This is a good spot for New York to keep the momentum rolling and collect its second straight win, as well as an ideal spot to sell the Cardinals after a nice three-game winning streak.
Pick: Jets +1 (-115) Bet365 Sportsbook
Risk 1.15 Units to Win 1 Unit
Indianapolis Colts (+4) vs. Buffalo Bills
We're going back to the well selecting the Colts again this week. While Joe Flacco did not play well against the Vikings in Week 9, the rest of the team did. They kept Indianapolis in the game despite their quarterback's struggles.
Fumble six! Grover Stewart forced the ball out and Kenny Moore II scoops it up and scores for the @Colts!
📺: #INDvsMIN on NBC/Peacock
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/PSgU0G9Px1— NFL (@NFL) November 4, 2024
Buffalo has been playing well, but they are closing out a brutal part of their schedule. The Bills are playing their fifth road game in the last seven weeks and fatigue could become an issue. That could show up if the Colts give running back Jonathan Taylor a healthy workload on Sunday. Buffalo's defense has been solid, but they've struggled defending the run at times this year. That plays right into the Colts' offensive strengths with Taylor and their offensive line.
This is just a bad spot for Buffalo. Look for Indianapolis to keep this game close and possibly steal a win late.
Pick: Colts +4 (-110) BetMGM Sportsbook
Risk .33 Units to Win .3 Units
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