BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~84 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~95
ANALYSIS: Robinson and free agent addition Austin Ekeler are currently expected to split touches in Washington’s backfield. Despite this, Ekeler is the preferred option among gamers and is going nearly 16 picks earlier than Robinson. This is happening despite Robinson finishing higher than Ekeler in the following metrics:
- Next Gen Stats Rush Yards Over Expected (RYOE)
- Fantasy Points Data Suite’s Missed Tackles Forced Per Attempt (MTF)
- Fantasy Points Data Suite’s EXP Run %
- Fantasy Points Data Suite’s Yards After Contact Per Attempt (YACO/ATT).
- Pro Football Focus’s (PFF) Rushing Grade
- PFF’s Elusive Rating
So, we are drafting a 29-year-old back, coming off the worst year of his career, whose metrics all signal he’s in decline over a 25-year-old back coming off his best season as a professional?
Ekeler traditionally has been a great pass-catching back, but he wasn’t better than Robinson in that area either last year.
Ekeler:
8.5 yards per reception
5.9 yards per target
1.40 YPRR
1 receiving touchdown
Robinson:
10.2 yards per reception
8.6 yards per target
1.89 YPRR
4 receiving touchdowns
No, this does not suggest Robinson is going to morph into an elite pass-catching back. That’s just not his skill set. But it does mean these backs might not be that different as pass-catchers in terms of potential fantasy production.
There is no good reason to draft Ekeler over Robinson other than name value. Robinson is not a perfect back, but he’s not terrible either. Robinson is Washington’s best option at the moment. He could also see a boost in efficiency playing alongside dual-threat rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels.
Fresh off a PPR RB21 finish, Robinson should be considered the preferred pick from this backfield.
More Fantasy Football Values and Sleepers
Jordan Whittington (WR, LAR) - Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups for Week 3
BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 2% of Leagues ANALYSIS: The Rams are dealing with a plethora of major injuries on offense. Included in that group are wide receivers Puka Nacua (knee) and Cooper Kupp (ankle). Nacua has already been placed on injured reserve and Kupp could soon join him. These injuries […]
Skylar Thompson (QB, MIA) - Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups for Week 3
BALLER MOVE: Add in 2QB Leagues ROSTERED IN: 0% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Football fans held their breath when Tua Tagovailoa exited with an apparent head injury last Thursday. We quickly found out he suffered yet another concussion, requiring him to be placed on injured reserve. Looking long-term, Tagovailoa will have to make a difficult decision […]
Tyler Huntley (QB, MIA) - Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups for Week 3
BALLER MOVE: Add in 2QB Leagues ROSTERED IN: 0% of Leagues ANALYSIS: The Dolphins officially signed quarterback Tyler Huntley to their active roster on Tuesday. He joins the team after Miami placed quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (concussion) on injured reserve. Huntley spent his first four seasons backing up Lamar Jackson in Baltimore. Although he signed with […]
Ray Davis (RB, BUF) - Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups for Week 3
BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 14% of Leagues ANALYSIS: James Cook went off on Thursday night, scoring three touchdowns. However, an underrated story was the usage of fellow running back Ray Davis, who logged 10 touches and 3.2 YPC while playing 31 percent of offensive snaps. Davis showcased physicality in short-yardage […]
Emanuel Wilson (RB, GB) - Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups for Week 3
BALLER MOVE: Add in 16+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 2% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Green Bay Packers running back Emanuel Wilson will move up the depth chart after the team placed rookie MarShawn Lloyd (ankle) on injured reserve on Tuesday. Wilson was Josh Jacobs' backup in the season opener, and the second-year running back looked solid […]
Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App
Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!Win More With RotoBaller
Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:Check out RotoBaller's famous fantasy football draft sleepers and waiver wire pickups list, updated regularly!