J.P. Crawford 2024 Player Outlook: Regression Likely Following Career Year
9 months agoSeattle Mariners shortstop J.P. Crawford rewarded fantasy managers who took a shot on him after years of mediocre production in 2023. In his age-28 season, Crawford hit .266 with 19 home runs, more than he hit in the previous two seasons combined (15). Add in an impressive 14.7% BB%, 94 runs, and a .818 OPS, and Crawford out-performed by a mile a season ago. However, don't expect the same production this season. The 29-year-old ranked in the 29th percentile or worse in xSLG, average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel rate. His bat-handling skills and plate discipline are well above average but his power numbers should regress. ATC projects 12 home runs from him in 2024 but he should be a solid source of runs and walks as the everyday leadoff hitter in Seattle.