Hello everybody and welcome to our Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 8 Thursday Night Football - Buccaneers vs. Bills! The 2023 NFL season is well underway and that means our friends over at Sleeper have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of tonight.
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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for TNF
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James Cook HIGHER THAN 18.5 Receiving Yards
James Cook comes in with the highest implied total to hit the over for his receiving yards, sitting at -121 (54.75%) using the Proptimizer. It's for good reason. Cook has only missed this receiving total three times this season, Weeks 1, 3, and 6. Barely missed in Week 1 with 17 receiving yards. He holds a 50% route share target on the season, being used heavily out of the backfield by Josh Allen. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have had some success stopping the run game but the receiving game is the opposite. They rank 17th defending the passing game which gives James Cook a good opportunity Thursday Night to succeed.
Cade Otton LOWER THAN 25.5 Receiving Yards
Cade Otton has a pretty high total for someone who hasn't had much success in breaking 20 receiving yards per game. He has only surpassed the 25.5 receiving yards total twice this season, in Weeks 2 and 7. He's projected for only 22 yards versus the Buffalo Bills. Otton has a 12% target share on the season and that most likely won't climb much higher. The Bills are ranked ninth when it comes to defending against opposing tight ends, causing more struggle for Otton.
Dalton Kincaid HIGHER THAN 38.5 Receiving Yard
With Dawson Knox battling injury and a potential IR spot, Dalton Kincaid can finally shine. Coming off of his best outing yet this season, Kincaid recorded eight receptions off of eight targets for 75 yards. His target share jumped up to 22% in Week 7 after 6% in Week 5. He has a projection near 41 receiving yards and while the matchup may be difficult, this Buccaneers defense struggles to guard the passing game, allowing 342.5 yards per game.
Other Recommendations:
- Mike Evans HIGHER THAN 4.5 Receptions
- Stefon Diggs HIGHER THAN 65.5 Receiving Yards
- Baker Mayfield HIGHER THAN 0.5 Interceptions
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