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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Arizona Cardinals vs. Washington Commanders, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 10th, 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Cardinals @ Commanders
The Cardinals take on the Commanders on Sunday, September 10th at FedEx Field, Landover. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Arizona Cardinals (0-0) vs. Washington Commanders (0-0)
- Date: Sunday, September 10th, 2023
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: FedEx Field
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Cardinals @ Commanders
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Arizona Cardinals - NFL Betting Analysis
The Cardinals are coming off a season in which they finished with an overall record of just 4-13. In the NFC-West, Arizona was 4th and went 1-5 against division opponents. At home, the Cardinals finished 1-8 while going 3-5 on the road.
Joshua Dobbs comes over to the Cardinals after playing for the Titans last season. In the 2022-2023 season, he finished with a passer rating of 73.8 and threw for 411 yards in two games. Dobbs' touchdown to interception ratio for the season was 2/2. In 2022, the Cardinals offense finished 25th in the NFL in third-down conversion rate (35.2%) and averaged 323.5 yards per game, putting them 4th in the league. On average, they threw the ball 39.1 times per game leading to 213.3 receiving yards per contest. Arizona's rushing attack finished 17th in yards per attempt.
When looking at how the Cardinals' defense performed on 3rd down last season, they were 26th in the NFL with opponents converting 42.9% of their 3rd down attempts. Arizona finished the season 9th in turnovers and allowed an average of 26.4, putting them 29th in the NFL.
Against the spread, the Cardinals are coming off a season in which they went 8-9 on an average scoring margin of -6.4 point per game. The team's over/under record was 9-7-1 with 13 of their games surpassing this week's line of 38 points.
Washington Commanders - NFL Betting Analysis
Looking ahead to the upcoming season, the Commanders are focused on moving up the ranks after concluding last season in last place in the NFC-East and holding the 9th position in the NFC. With an overall record of 8-8-1, Washington's performance included going 4-3-1 on the road and 4-5 at home. Within divisional matchups, the Commanders finished with a 2-3-1 record.
Washington starting quarterback Sam Howell will taking over for Taylor Heinicke who led the Commanders in passing yards last season (1859) and is now on the Falcons. Last season, Howell played in one game and finished with 169 yards on a completion percentage of 57.9%. The Commanders finished last season ranked 19th in yards per game on an average of 18.9 points per game (24th). In the passing game, Washington ranked 19th in passing attempts and 21st in passing yards. Their ground game saw the Commanders average 126.1 yards per contest (12th).
The Commanders are coming off a season in which they were 8th in points allowed. Opposing team's finished the year with an average of 20.2 points per game vs. the Commanders defense. Washington's run defense wrapped up the season 11th in the NFL, while opponents finished with a completion percentage of 59.9% vs. the Commanders and a passer rating of 87.95.
Looking back to last season, the average over/under line for the Commanders was 41.9 points leading to an over/under record of 5-12 for the Commanders. Against the spread, Washington was 8-8-1 with an average scoring margin of -1.3 point pere game.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Cardinals vs. Commanders
Last season, the Cardinals and Commanders did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Commanders have the leg up at 2-1. The Commanders also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 36 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
- Across their five previous road games, Arizona has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 20 points per game.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Washington has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 22 per game. The team went 3-1-1 overall in these games.
- As the betting underdog, the Commanders have an ATS mark of just 5-4-1 in their last ten games. Washington posted a straight up mark of 4-6 in these matchups.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Cardinals have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-8.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Cardinals +7
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 38
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