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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Monday, September 4th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Twins vs. Guardians
The Twins take on the Guardians on Monday, September 4th 2023 at Progressive Field, Cleveland. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Minnesota Twins (71-66) vs. Cleveland Guardians (66-71)
- Date: Monday, September 4th 2023
- Time: 6:10 ET
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Twins vs. Guardians
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Minnesota Twins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Minnesota Twins enter play ranked 1st in the AL Central, with an overall record of 71-66. Heading into play, the Twins have won half of their 68 road games, sitting at 31-37.
Being the favorite in 91 of their 137 games has not helped Minnesota improve their record against the runline, which stands at just 67-70. The team's over/under record comes in at 66-64 with an average betting line of 8.
Minnesota pitcher Pablo López gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 9-7. Through 27 outings, Pablo López has an ERA sitting at 3.72. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .233 against him. Opposing hitters have gone deep 21 times against Pablo López, who has a WOBA allowed of .292. López's WHIP of 1.16 comes along with a total of 43 walks allowed.
On offense, Minnesota comes into the game averaging 4.5 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. Together, the Twins' offense has the 15th-ranked batting average, at .240. So far, the team has put together a strong home-run hitting lineup ranking 5th in home runs, with a total of 192 deep shots. To date, Minnesota has the MLB's 13th-rated OBP, sitting at .320.
Cleveland Guardians - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Minnesota, the Guardians have a record of just 66-71. This places the team 2nd in the AL Central. Through 69 home contests, the Guardians come in with a mark of 35-34 at Progressive Field.
Across their 137 games, Cleveland has been favored 66 times, yet their record against the runline is above .500. The team has an over/under record of 57-77, with an average betting line of 8.
For Cleveland, Lucas Giolito will look to pick up a win over Minnesota, as he has a record of 7-11. Currently, Lucas Giolito has an ERA of 4.45. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .233 against him. Opposing hitters have gone deep 30 times against Lucas Giolito, who has a WOBA allowed of .321. With a total of 57 walks, Giolito has a WHIP of 1.27.
Cleveland's' offense comes into this game averaging just 4.1 runs per game, placing them 27th in the MLB. Heading into play, the Guardians are hoping their strong batting average of .248 will start translating into runs. In total the team has hit just 104 home runs, placing them 24th in the league. To date, Cleveland has the MLB's 19th-rated OBP, sitting at .310.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Twins vs. Guardians
Heading into today's matchup between Minnesota and Cleveland, the Twins are the betting favorite at -139 on the moneyline. Minnesota's implied win probability sits at 58.16%. The MLB predictive model has the Twins picking up the win. However, it is recommended to stick to the moneyline for today's action.
Recommended Betting Pick: Twins Moneyline -139
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