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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Detroit Tigers vs. Miami Marlins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday, July 30th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Tigers vs. Marlins
The Tigers take on the Marlins on Sunday, July 30th 2023 at loanDepot Park, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Detroit Tigers (47-58) vs. Miami Marlins (56-49)
- Date: Sunday, July 30th 2023
- Time: 1:40 ET
- Venue: loanDepot Park, Miami
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Tigers vs. Marlins
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Detroit Tigers - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Miami, the Tigers have a record of just 47-58. This places the team 3rd in the AL Central. The Tigers will need a win in today's game to move their record on the road (25-28) above the .500 mark.
Despite being favored 19 times in 105 games, Detroit has managed to maintain an above .500 record against the runline. The team has an over/under record of 54-47, with an average betting line of 8.
The Tigers will send Tarik Skubal to the mound with an overall record of 1-1. Coming into play, Detroit Tigers has put together an ERA of 3.71. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .200. With a WOBA allowed of .243, Tarik Skubal has not given up a home run so far this year. Skubal's WHIP of .88 comes along with a total of three walks allowed.
Detroit's' offense comes into this game averaging just 3.9 runs per game, placing them 27th in the MLB. Although the team has struggled to score runs, their combined batting average of .231 comes in closer to the league average. In terms of home runs, Detroit ranks 22nd, with a total of 98 long balls. To date, Detroit has the MLB's 20th-rated OBP, sitting at .299.
Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Miami Marlins enter play ranked 3rd in the NL East, with an overall record of 56-49. Through 53 home contests, the Marlins come in with a mark of 32-21 at loanDepot Park.
Miami's record against the runline sits at 48-57 while being favored 52 times in 105 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 49-53 with an average betting line of 8.
Making the start for Miami is Jesús Luzardo, with a record of 8-5. So far, Jesús Luzardo has put together an ERA of 3.22 across his 21 outings. Currently, opponents are batting just .229 against the left-hander. Opposing hitters have gone deep 13 times against Jesús Luzardo, who has a WOBA allowed of .296. Luzardo has a WHIP of 1.15, with 32 walks allowed.
Miami has struggled to score runs this season, currently ranking 26th in scoring with an average of 4.1 runs per game. Despite their mediocre scoring average, the Marlins have combined to hit .264, which ranks 4th in the league. So far, home runs have been elusive for the team, as they rank 24th in the league, at 93 home runs. Miami's OBP of .320 places them 12th in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Tigers vs. Marlins
Heading into today's matchup between Miami and Detroit, the Marlins are the betting favorite at -152 on the moneyline. Miami's implied win probability sits at 60.32%. The MLB predictive model shows the Tigers pulling off the upset over Miami. It is recommended to take Detroit on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Tigers Moneyline +129
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