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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Friday, July 28th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Pirates
The Phillies take on the Pirates on Friday, July 28th 2023 at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (55-47) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (45-57)
- Date: Friday, July 28th 2023
- Time: 7:05 ET
- Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Pirates
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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Philadelphia Phillies enter play ranked 2nd in the NL East with an overall record of 55-47. Heading into today's game, the Phillies will look to pick up a win on the road, as they have gone just 27-27 when playing away from home.
Philadelphia's record against the runline stands at 42-60, even though they have been favored in 65 of their 102 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 42-53 with an average betting line of 9.
For Philadelphia, Zack Wheeler gets the start, currently holding a record of 7-5. Coming into play, Philadelphia Phillies has put together an ERA of 3.88. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .243. Opposing hitters have gone deep 10 times against Zack Wheeler, who has a WOBA allowed of .288. Wheeler has a WHIP of 1.14, with 23 walks allowed.
Philadelphia's offense enters play with the 17th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Phillies have combined to hit .256, which ranks 8th in the league. Overall, the team has hit 111 home runs, placing them 17th. Throughout the season, Philadelphia's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 11th best OBP of .319.
Pittsburgh Pirates - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Philadelphia, the Pirates have a record of just 45-57. This places the team 4th in the NL Central. In their 49 games at PNC Park, the Pirates have a record of just 23-26.
Being favored 21 times in 102 games, Pittsburgh has a record against the runline of 47-55. The team has an over/under record of 52-46, with an average betting line of 9.
Starting for the Pirates will be Mitch Keller, with an overall record of 9-6. Across 21 appearances, Mitch Keller has a combined ERA of 4.01. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .233 against him. Opposing hitters have gone deep 16 times against Mitch Keller, who has a WOBA allowed of .298. Keller has a WHIP of 1.20, with 37 walks allowed.
Pittsburgh's' offense comes into this game averaging just 4.1 runs per game, placing them 27th in the MLB. So far, the Pirates have combined for a team batting average of .236, placing them 19th in the league. Overall, the team has hit 97 home runs, placing them 20th. To date, Pittsburgh has the MLB's 16th-rated OBP, sitting at .312.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Pirates
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, the Phillies are the betting favorite at -159 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 61.39%. The MLB predictive model shows Philadelphia picking up the win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an edge to take the Phillies on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies -1.5
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