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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cleveland Guardians, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Friday, July 21st 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Guardians
The Phillies take on the Guardians on Friday, July 21st 2023 at Progressive Field, Cleveland. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (52-44) vs. Cleveland Guardians (47-49)
- Date: Friday, July 21st 2023
- Time: 7:10 ET
- Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Guardians
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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 52-44, the Philadelphia Phillies will host Philadelphia, currently ranked 2nd in the NL East. In their 51 games as the road team, Philadelphia has put together a record of 26-25.
Philadelphia's record vs. the runline is just 40-56 despite being favored 59 times through 96 games. The team has an over/under record of 39-50, with an average betting line of 9.
Ranger Suárez gets the starting nod for Philadelphia, looking to improve his overall record of 2-4. Coming into play, Philadelphia Phillies has put together an ERA of 3.84. To date, he has a batting average allowed of .257. So far, Suárez has given up seven home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .313. With a total of 25 walks, Suárez has a WHIP of 1.35.
Philadelphia's offense comes into this game averaging 4.5 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. Through 97 game, the Phillies have a team batting average of .258, ranking 6th. The team's lineup has gone deep at toal of 107 times this season, placing them 15th in the league. Philadelphia's offense currently sits 12th in OBP, coming in at .320.
Cleveland Guardians - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Philadelphia, the Guardians have a record of just 47-49. This places the team 2nd in the AL Central. Through 46 home contests, the Guardians come in with a mark of 24-22 at Progressive Field.
Cleveland's record against the runline stands at 47-49, even though they have been favored in 53 of their 96 games. The team has an over/under record of 42-52, with an average betting line of 8.
Gavin Williams gets the start for the Guardians with a below .500 record at 1-2. Through five appearances, Gavin Williams has an ERA of 3.94. Currently, opponents are batting just .224 against the right-hander. Gavin Williams has given up four home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .299. Williams' WHIP of 1.18 comes along with a total of 11 walks allowed.
On offense, Cleveland comes into the game averaging 4.2 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. The Guardians' offense comes into this matchup ranked 11th in the league, at .252. Despite the team's high batting average, they off to a slow start in the power department, ranking 26th in the league, at 71 total home runs. Up to this point, Cleveland has been getting on base at a rate of .315, placing them 15th in all of baseball.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Guardians
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and Cleveland, the Phillies are the betting favorite at -120 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 54.55%. The MLB predictive model shows Philadelphia picking up the win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an edge to take the Phillies on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies -1.5
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