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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday, July 4th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Royals vs. Twins
The Royals take on the Twins on Tuesday, July 4th 2023 at Target Field, Minneapolis. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Kansas City Royals (25-60) vs. Minnesota Twins (43-43)
- Date: Tuesday, July 4th 2023
- Time: 2:10 ET
- Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Royals vs. Twins
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Kansas City Royals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Minnesota, the Royals have a record of just 25-60. This places the team 5th in the AL Central. Kansas City has gone 12-29 in their games on the road.
Kansas City's record against the runline, while being favored 13 times in 85 games, sits at 31-54. The team's over/under record comes in at 40-43 with an average betting line of 9.
The Royals will send Zack Greinke to the mound with an overall record of 1-8. Against the Twins, Zack Greinke is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 5.15. His batting average allowed of .284 is high compared to other pitchers. So far, Greinke has given up 15 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .328. Greinke has a WHIP of 1.28, with 13 walks allowed.
This year, runs have been hard to come by for Kansas City's offense, as they are the 27th-ranked scoring team at 3.8. Although the team has struggled to score runs, their combined batting average of .233 comes in closer to the league average. In terms of home runs, Kansas City ranks 21st, with a total of 75 long balls. Kansas City's offense currently sits 22nd in OBP, coming in at .298.
Minnesota Twins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Minnesota Twins come into their game against Kansas City looking to move above .500. Their record of 43-43 ranks 1st in the AL Central. So far, Minnesota has been tough at Target Field, putting together a mark of 24-19.
With a record of 43-43, Minnesota has covered the runline in half of their games while being favored in 53 of their 86 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 36-45 with an average betting line of 8.
For Minnesota, Kenta Maeda will look to pick up a win over Kansas City, as he has a record of 1-5. Kenta Maeda will be looking to bring down an ERA of 6.23. Currently, opponents have a batting average of .282 against him. Kenta Maeda has given up three home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .326. Maeda has a WHIP of 1.46, with seven walks allowed.
Offensively, Minnesota is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.2 runs per game. Through 86 games, the Twins have the 18th-ranked batting average at .233. So far, the team has put together a strong home-run hitting lineup ranking 7th in home runs, with a total of 109 deep shots. Throughout the season, Minnesota is ranked 18th in OBP (.310).
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Royals vs. Twins
Heading into today's matchup between Minnesota and Kansas City, the Twins are the betting favorite at -195 on the moneyline. Minnesota's implied win probability sits at 66.1%. The MLB predictive model shows Minnesota picking up the win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an edge to take the Twins on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Twins -1.5
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