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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Wednesday, June 28th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Padres vs. Pirates
The Padres take on the Pirates on Wednesday, June 28th 2023 at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: San Diego Padres (37-42) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (36-42)
- Date: Wednesday, June 28th 2023
- Time: 7:05 ET
- Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Padres vs. Pirates
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San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The San Diego Padres take on the Pittsburgh hoping to improve on their record of just 37-42, placing them 4th in the NL West. San Diego will be looking to move their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 17-20 away from home.
Despite having the advantage of being favored in 58 of their 79 games, San Diego's record vs. the runline is just 36-43. The team has an over/under record of 29-47, with an average betting line of 9.
The Padres will send Blake Snell to the mound with an overall record of 4-6. Through 15 outings, Blake Snell has an ERA sitting at 3.22. Currently, opponents are batting just .199 against the left-hander. Blake Snell has given up 10 home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .291. Snell's WHIP of 1.24 comes along with a total of 40 walks allowed.
Offensively, San Diego is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.3 runs per game. Together, the Padres' offense has the 21st-ranked batting average, at .233. So far, the team has put together a strong home-run hitting lineup ranking 11th in home runs, with a total of 93 deep shots. Up to this point, San Diego has been one of the MLB's better teams at getting on base, ranking 11th at .323.
Pittsburgh Pirates - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against San Diego, the Pirates have a record of just 36-42. This places the team 4th in the NL Central. The Pirates hope to avoid dropping below .500 at home, as they are currently 19-19 at PNC Park.
Pittsburgh's record against the runline, while being favored 19 times in 78 games, sits at 37-41. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 38-38.
Pittsburgh pitcher Mitch Keller gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 8-3. So far, Mitch Keller has put together an ERA of 3.46 across his 16 outings. Currently, opponents are batting just .222 against the right-hander. Opposing hitters have gone deep 10 times against Mitch Keller, who has a WOBA allowed of .281. Keller has a WHIP of 1.11, with 26 walks allowed.
This season, runs have been hard to come by for Pittsburgh, as they are the 25th-ranked scoring team, averaging 4.1 runs per game. Through 78 games, the Pirates have the 18th-ranked batting average at .239. In terms of home runs, Pittsburgh ranks 23rd, with a total of 72 long balls. To date, Pittsburgh has the MLB's 15th-rated OBP, sitting at .317.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Padres vs. Pirates
Heading into today's matchup between San Diego and Pittsburgh, the Padres are the betting favorite at -161 on the moneyline. San Diego's implied win probability sits at 61.69%. Led by a strong offensive performance, the MLB predictive model recommends taking the Padres on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Padres Moneyline -161
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