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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Wednesday, June 21st 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Braves vs. Phillies
The Braves take on the Phillies on Wednesday, June 21st 2023 at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves (47-26) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (38-35)
- Date: Wednesday, June 21st 2023
- Time: 6:40 ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Braves vs. Phillies
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Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 47-26, the Atlanta Braves travel to take on the Philadelphia Phillies, ranked 1st in the NL East. In their 34 games as the road team, Atlanta has put together a record of 23-11.
Despite being the favorite in 63 of their 73 games, Atlanta's record against the runline is only 36-37. The team's over/under record comes in at 41-28 with an average betting line of 9.
Taking the mound for Atlanta is AJ Smith-Shawver. Heading into play, he has a mark of 1-0. So far, AJ Smith-Shawver has put together an outstanding ERA of 2.02. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .176. Opposing hitters have gone deep two times against AJ Smith-Shawver, who has a WOBA allowed of .238. Smith-Shawver's WHIP of .97 comes along with a total of four walks allowed.
Atlanta enters play averaging 5.5 runs per game, placing them 3rd in the MLB. As a team, the Braves are batting a healthy .269, placing them 2nd in the league. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above average rate, with 128 home runs (1st). Atlanta's offense has done a good job getting on base, ranking 2nd with an OBP of .339.
Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Philadelphia Phillies enter play ranked 3rd in the NL East with an overall record of 38-35. In their 31 at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia has put together a record of 19-12.
Being the favorite in 44 of their 73 games has not helped Philadelphia improve their record against the runline, which stands at just 30-43. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 29-38.
Starting for the Phillies will be Aaron Nola, with an overall record of 6-5. Aaron Nola will take the mound with an ERA of 4.66. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .227. Opposing hitters have gone deep 15 times against Aaron Nola, who has a WOBA allowed of .297. With a total of 24 walks, Nola has a WHIP of 1.10.
Philadelphia's offense enters play with the 16th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.4 runs per game. The Phillies' offense comes into this matchup ranked 9th in the league, at .259. Overall, the team has hit 78 home runs, placing them 16th. Throughout the season, Philadelphia is ranked 13th in OBP (.322).
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Braves vs. Phillies
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and Atlanta, the Phillies are the betting favorite at -125 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 55.56%. The MLB preditive model shows Philadelphia having a strong performance at the plate and has identified the best bet to take Philadelphia on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Moneyline -125
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