Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday, June 18th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Pirates vs. Brewers
The Pirates take on the Brewers on Sunday, June 18th 2023 at American Family Field, Milwaukee. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates (34-35) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (36-34)
- Date: Sunday, June 18th 2023
- Time: 2:10 ET
- Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Pirates vs. Brewers
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Pittsburgh Pirates - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Pittsburgh Pirates take on the Milwaukee hoping to improve on their record of just 34-35, placing them 3rd in the NL Central. Pittsburgh will be looking to move their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 16-19 away from home.
Pittsburgh's record against the runline sits at 34-35 while being favored 19 times in 69 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 35-32 with an average betting line of 9.
Pirates starter Luis L. Ortiz comes into the game with a record of just 1-3. Across 7 appearances, Luis L. Ortiz has a combined ERA of 4.64. Currently, opponents have a batting average of .301 against him. Opposing hitters have gone deep six times against Luis L. Ortiz, who has a WOBA allowed of .371. Ortiz's WHIP of 1.76 comes along with a total of 17 walks allowed.
On offense, Pittsburgh comes into the game averaging 4.3 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. The Pirates' combined batting average currently sits at .246, placing them 13th in the league. Overall, the team has hit 66 home runs, placing them 15th. Pittsburgh's overall OBP of .324 is good for 9th in the league.
Milwaukee Brewers - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 36-34, the Pittsburgh Pirates will host the Pittsburgh Pirates, currently ranked 1st in the NL Central. So far, Milwaukee has been tough at American Family Field, putting together a mark of 20-16.
Despite having the advantage of being favored in 38 of their 70 games, Milwaukee's record vs. the runline is just 30-40. The team's over/under record comes in at 29-39 with an average betting line of 9.
The Brewers will send Freddy Peralta to the mound with an overall record of 5-6. Across 13 appearances, Freddy Peralta has a combined ERA of 4.74. His batting average allowed of .250 is high compared to other pitchers. So far, Peralta has given up 13 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .337. Peralta's WHIP of 1.36 comes along with a total of 27 walks allowed.
Milwaukee has struggled to score runs this season, currently ranking 24th in scoring with an average of 4.1 runs per game. Although the team has struggled to score runs, their combined batting average of .228 comes in closer to the league average. In total, the team has hit 81 home runs (9th), making up for their mediocre batting average. Milwaukee's overall OBP of .306 puts them 19th in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Pirates vs. Brewers
Heading into today's matchup between Milwaukee and Pittsburgh, the Brewers are the betting favorite at -161 on the moneyline. Milwaukee's implied win probability sits at 61.69%. The MLB predictive model shows the Brewers pitching to carry the team to a win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an advantage to take Milwaukee on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Brewers -1.5
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